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NFL MVP odds 2021: Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers lead pack

Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers unsurprisingly lead the 2021 NFL MVP odds. Find out who else is in the running, and where the best value bets are.

The NFL MVP odds for the 2021 season have received a big update as of Wednesday on SportsBetting.ag, and reigning award winner Aaron Rodgers is chasing front-runner Patrick Mahomes in the latest lines.

Mahomes (+500) is the clear heavy favorite, well out in front of Rodgers (+900), Buffalo Bills star Josh Allen (+1000) and new Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (+1400).

Here’s a look at the complete NFL MVP odds:

Player2021 NFL MVP odds
Patrick Mahomes+500
Aaron Rodgers+900
Josh Allen+1000
Matthew Stafford+1400
Dak Prescott+1600
Kyler Murray+1600
Lamar Jackson+1600
Tom Brady+1600
Justin Herbert+2000
Russell Wilson+2000
Carson Wentz+2500
Deshaun Watson+2500
Baker Mayfield+3300
Joe Burrow+3300
Ryan Tannehill+3300

Related: NFL MVP odds – Aaron Rodgers looks to win fourth award in 2021

NFL MVP odds 2021: Breaking down biggest favorites

NFL MVP odds 2021: Breaking down biggest favorites
Jan 12, 2020; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) waves as he walks off the field after defeating the Seattle Seahawks in a NFC Divisional Round playoff football game at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

It didn’t even matter that Rodgers wasn’t given any new weapons to play with prior to last year. He used the fact that Green Bay drafted his eventual successor, Jordan Love, as motivation if anything, and put up probably his best season ever.

Once again, the Packers have failed to make any meaningful additions on offense. They should be feeling more heat to capitalize on Rodgers’ prime and earn more than one Super Bowl win, but alas. Whatever the circumstances in 2021, expect another monster showing from Green Bay’s golden-armed QB.

While Stafford should benefit greatly in moving Detroit to Los Angeles, it’s bold to have him as the fourth candidate for MVP ahead of others. Not only is it a new system he’s entering into, but he’s not the same type of dual-threat playmaker who can pile up yards on the ground like, say, Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson.

Bottom line: Mahomes is the man to beat for a reason. He won the award in his first full year as a starter in 2018. Two full years removed from that, there’s no reason why Mahomes shouldn’t be considered the favorite. He’s due.

Related: Top 20 NFL QB Rankings РTom Brady’s the GOAT, but which MVP is No. 2?

NFL MVP odds 2021: Best value among dark horses

NFL MVP odds 2021: Best value among dark horses
Dec 6, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) throws the ball in the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots at SoFi Stadium. The Patriots defeated the Chargers 45-0. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Considering that Tom Brady is considered the greatest quarterback of all-time, and is returning all the starters from his offense that won the Super Bowl last season, he seems like really good value at +1600.

Brady might get an honorary, almost ceremonial MVP nod even if other players put up slightly better numbers. That’s partially because he played at such an elite level in 2020 despite joining a new team for the first time in two decades and getting acquainted with a whole new offense and personnel.

With more time to get on the same page with everyone, it stands to reason Brady can improve on a 2020 campaign that saw him finish third in the NFL with 4,633 passing yards and 40 touchdown tosses.

Moving further down the line, how about Justin Herbert at +2000? Although he’s transitioning to a new offense, many didn’t believe Herbert had the wherewithal to play as an NFL rookie last year. We all saw how that misguided prognostication turned out.

As long as the Los Angeles Chargers upgrade their offensive line well enough through the draft, Herbert should be in ideal position to be a legitimate MVP candidate.

Among the true long shots, Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns isn’t a horrible bet at +3300. He’ll be in the best situation among the other QBs with those odds. It’s just a question of whether he’ll get enough opportunities to air it out, since Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt form arguably the NFL’s best backfield tandem.

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