NFL MVP odds 2021: Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers lead pack

Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers unsurprisingly lead the 2021 NFL MVP odds. Find out who else is in the running, and where the best value bets are.

The NFL MVP odds for the 2021 season have received a big update ahead of the 2021 NFL season, and reigning award winner Aaron Rodgers is chasing front-runner Patrick Mahomes in the latest lines.

Mahomes (+500) is the clear heavy favorite, well out in front of No. 2 co-favorites Rodgers and Buffalo Bills star Josh Allen (+1000).

Here’s a look at the complete NFL MVP odds from DraftKings as the date for training camp openings closes in:

Player2021 NFL MVP odds
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs+500
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers+1000
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills+1000
Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks+1400
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys+1400
Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams+1600
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1600
Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers+1800
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens+1800
Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals+2000
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans+2500
Kirk Cousins, QB, Minnesota Vikings+2500
Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans+3500
Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland Browns+3500
Jameis Winston, QB, New Orleans Saints+3500
Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons+3500
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals+4000
Carson Wentz, QB, Indianapolis Colts+4000
Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers+4000
Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins+4000
Will Aaron Rodgers end his career in Green Bay?

Related: Everything you need to know about the 2021 NFL season

NFL MVP odds 2021: Breaking down biggest favorites

NFL MVP odds 2021: Breaking down biggest favorites
Jan 12, 2020; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) waves as he walks off the field after defeating the Seattle Seahawks in a NFC Divisional Round playoff football game at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

It didn’t even matter that Rodgers wasn’t given any new weapons to play with prior to last year. He used the fact that Green Bay drafted his eventual successor, Jordan Love, as motivation if anything, and put up probably his best season ever.

Once again, the Packers have failed to make any meaningful additions on offense. They should be feeling more heat to capitalize on Rodgers’ prime and earn more than one Super Bowl win, but alas. Whatever the circumstances in 2021, expect another monster showing from Green Bay’s golden-armed QB.

As good as Allen was when he took the biggest Year 3 leap in development seen at the position in NFL history, it feels like he’s destined to take at least a slight step back. If he maintained the level of play he showed in 2020, it’d be a stunning achievement.

While Stafford should benefit greatly in moving Detroit to the Los Angeles Rams, it’s bold to have him tied with the GOAT himself, Tom Brady. Consider, too, that Brady just played all of 2020 on a torn MCL and was still among the league’s elite QBs.

Well, maybe Brady’s success is foreshadowing how Stafford will thrive with much a better supporting cast around him under the watch of an offensive guru in Rams coach Sean McVay.

The concern regarding his MVP candidacy really isn’t whether Stafford can pick up McVay’s system. Stafford just isn’t the same type of dual-threat playmaker who can pile up yards on the ground like, say, Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson.

Bottom line: Mahomes is the man to beat for a reason. He won the award in his first full year as a starter in 2018. Two full years removed from that, there’s no reason why Mahomes shouldn’t be considered the favorite. He’s due.

Related: Top 20 NFL QB Rankings РTom Brady’s the GOAT, but which MVP is No. 2?

NFL MVP odds 2021: Best value among dark horses

NFL MVP odds 2021: Best value among dark horses
Dec 6, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) throws the ball in the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots at SoFi Stadium. The Patriots defeated the Chargers 45-0. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Circling back to Brady, Tampa Bay is returning all its starters from the offense that won the Super Bowl last season, so TB12 seems like a really good MVP value play at +1600.

Brady might get an honorary, almost ceremonial MVP nod, even if other players put up slightly better numbers. That’s partially because he played at such an elite level in 2020 despite Father Time and pretty much every factor stacked against him to adjust quickly and thrive to such a degree.

With more time to get on the same page with everyone, it stands to reason Brady can improve on a 2020 campaign that saw him finish third in the NFL with 4,633 passing yards and 40 touchdown tosses.

Moving further down the line, how about Justin Herbert at +1800? Although he’s transitioning to a new offense, many didn’t believe Herbert had the wherewithal to play as an NFL rookie last year. We all saw how that misguided prognostication turned out.

As long as the Los Angeles Chargers’ upgraded offensive line holds up well enough, Herbert should be in ideal position to be a legitimate MVP candidate.

Among the true long shots, Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns isn’t a horrible bet at +3500. He’ll be in the best situation among the other QBs with those odds. It’s just a question of whether he’ll get enough opportunities to air it out, since Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt form arguably the NFL’s best backfield tandem.

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