MLB MVP race 2024: Aaron Judge, Ketel Marte and top AL, NL MVP candidates in August

Who will win MLB MVP in 2024? Shohei Ohtani and Ronald Acuna Jr. took home the honors last year. Now, we look ahead to the 2024 season with an outlook analyzing the National League and American League candidates for the MLB MVP race.

Major League Baseball is the only American professional sport that wards two MVP awards, one to each conference. It allows two players to take home a prestigious honor, joining some of the best players in MLB history with the coveted award on their trophy case.

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Bookmark this page for updates on the MLB MVP race throughout the season. Here is our NL and AL MVP candidates in June with MLB statistics as of Friday, August 16.

NL MVP race: Shohei Ohtani leads tightening race

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	HRs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1	Shohei Ohtani	.294/.381/.613	994	37	88	170	5.7	6.0
2	Ketel Marte	.298/.369/.561	.930	30	81	151	5.4	6.1
3	Francisco Lindor	.263/.336/.464	.800	23	69	128	5.5	5.1
4	Bryce Harper	.283/.374/.542	.916	26	73	149	4.1	3.7
5	Elly De La Cruz	.263/.346/.493	.840	21	52	127	5.7	4.4

NL MVP candidates rankings

1. Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers – Shohei Ohtani is the front-runner for NL MVP right now, but the gap is narrowing considerably. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ huge lead in the NL West is practically gone and Ohtani ranks 35th in OPS (.840) in the National League since the All-Star Break with a .210 batting average. It should be only a matter of time until Ohtani’s bat heats up, especially with Mookie Betts rejoining the Dodgers lineup, but the NL MVP race is more wide open than expected.
2. Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks – The NL MVP odds for Ketel Marte keep climbing and it’s easy to see why. The Arizona Diamondbacks have the best record in baseball since June 1, in large part thanks to Marte. He leads the Diamondbacks lineup over that stretch with an outstanding 1.077 OPS, hitting 20 home runs with 52 RBI in the last 58 games. Of note, Arizona is 38-20 over that stretch. Marte might not receive the national recognition, but he’s earned his attention in the MLB MVP race.
3. Francisco Lindor, New York Mets – The NL MVP case for Francisco Lindor is in part tied to one big change. Lindor moved to the leadoff spot in the New York Mets lineup on May 18. Since May 19, with Lindor in the lineup, the Mets are 42-34 and he’s slashed .305/.377/.527 with a .904 OPS. New York will need to play even better for Lindor to have a realistic shot at MPV, but this stretch proves he is still one of the best shortstops in MLB.
4. Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies – The runner-up on our NL MVP ballot at the start of July, Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies are struggling. The Phillies record since the All-Star Break is 9-16, the third-worst record in baseball. Meanwhile, Harper ranks 57th in the NL in OPS (.712) behind a .231/.279/.433 slash line. Philadelphia is in desperate need of a turnaround and if Harper leads it, he can move back up the NL MVP rankings.
5. Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds – The fifth spot on our MLB MVP race ballot is usually reserved for an outstanding player on a team that isn’t contending. Elly De La Cruz fits that description perfectly. In just his second season, the 22-year-old is on pace for 28-plus home runs with 70-plus steals and a .800 OPS. What’s even more remarkable, he’s doing this with little help from the Reds lineup.

AL MVP race: Bobby Witt Jr vs Aaron Judge vs field

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	HRs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1	Aaron Judge	.333/.467/.707	1.174	43	110	219	8.6	8.4
2	Bobby Witt Jr	.349/.397/.612	1.009	24	89	173	8.3	7.9
3	Juan Soto	.307/.438/.615	1.052	34	87	192	7.5	7.5
4	Gunnar Henderson	.289/.374/.558	.932	31	73	162	6.8	7.4
5	Yordan Alvare	.304/.305/555	.950	25	64	163	3.8	3.8

AL MVP candidates rankings

1. Aaron Judge, New York Yankees – At first glance, the Aaron Judge stats seem ridiculous. They become even more remarkable with a little context. Judge slumped in the first month of the season. Since May 3, he owns a 1.352 OPS with 37 home runs, 92 RBI, 78 walks and a 488 batting average with a .519 OBP and .832 slugging. Just pure insanity from the New York Yankees slugger. The numbers, the Yankees’ success and Judge’s reputation give him a slight edge in the AL MVP race.
2. Bobby Witt Jr, Kansas City Royals – AL MVP ballots this year will be fascinating. The Kansas City Royals are the biggest surprise in baseball this season and Bobby Witt Jr. is the reason for it. When he’s in the Royals lineup, Kansas City is 11 games over .500. What makes Witt stand out as an AL MVP candidate is the fact he’s the only player in baseball to rank in the 98th percentile or higher for Baseball Savant‘s Batting Run Value, Baserunning Run Value and Fielding Run Value. Either Judge or Witt is deserving of MVP this year.
3. Juan Soto, New York Yankees – There’s an added pressure that comes from playing at Yankee Stadium and joining the New York Yankees in a contract year. Juan Soto is still exceeding expectations. At the plate, he’s delivering MVP-caliber production and he’s now pairing it with some of the best defense in his career in the corner outfield. Boosting Soto’s AL MVP odds is the fact that he’s tied for the second-most home runs in the American League (11) since the All-Star Brea and he has a .351/.479/.819 line with a 1.298 OPS over that span. Soto might not win MVP, but he’ll land a massive contract this winter.
4. Gunnar Henderson, Baltimore Orioles – Only 23 years old, Gunnar Henderson just becoming an AL MVP candidate in 2024 is an incredible feat. He’s been the Baltimore Orioles’ best player this year and if he keeps up his production, Baltimore could have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. However, it’s worth noting he only has a .809 OPS since July 1 with the majority of his 44 hits being singles. If he doesn’t turn it around in the next few weeks, he’ll be replaced on the ballot.
5. Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros – There are very few players capable of getting as hot at the plate as Aaron Judge. Yordan Alvarez is on that very short list. Since June 1, Alvarez ranks sixth in home runs (16), third in wRC+ (204) and OPS (1.115) and he’s fifth in batting average (.338). In related news, the Houston Astros are 38-20 with Alvarez in the lineup since June 1.

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MLB MVP odds right now

Here are the NL and AL MVP odds as of August 16 via FanDuel.

MLB MVP odds 2024: Identifying top AL, NL MVP candidates

Before breaking down our favorite NL and AL MVP candidates in 2024, here are the preseason MLB MVP odds 2024 courtesy of BetMGM. The right side of our table is NL MVP odds and the left side is AL MVP odds.

Player	Odds	Player	Odds
Ronald Acuña Jr	+525	Aaron Judge	+550
Mookie Betts	+650	Juan Soto	+600
Shohei Ohtani	+900	Yordan Alvarez	+900
Fernando Tatís Jr	+1000	Corey Seager	+1000
Freddie Freeman	+1100	Julio Rodriguez	+1200
Bryce Harper	+1200	Adley Rutschman	+1600
Matt Olson	+1400	Gunnar Henderson	+1800
Corbin Carroll	+2000	Kyle Tucker	+1800
Trea Turner	+2200	Bobby Witt Jr	+2000
Austin Riley	+2500	Vladimir Guerrero Jr	+2200

National League MVP candidates

Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers – +650

Shohei Ohtani will be picked by many to win MVP in the National League, but he isn’t pitching this year. With the assumed restrictions to playing designated hitter, someone else on one of the best teams in baseball will get those votes. Not only will Mookie Betts post MVP-caliber numbers at the plate, but his defensive excellence at second base and in the outfield could ultimately earn him MVP.

Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies – +900

Bryce Harper had a delayed start to the 2023 season, not playing until May due to elbow surgery. It then took time for the two-time MVP award winner to rediscover his power. However, we saw the best of Harper late in the year – .299/.425/.641, 179 wRC+, 16 home runs in the final 53 games – and replicating those numbers for one of the best teams in the National League will make Harper a front-runner for MVP honors.

Ronald Acuna Jr, Atlanta Braves – +525

The reigning National League MVP award winner has the highest odds in 2024, but we’d suggest betting against Ronald Acuña Jr doing it. While he should have some of the best MLB stats in 2024, a player hasn’t won consecutive MVP awards since Miguel Cabrera (2012-’13). While the decades-long stretch may end this year, it seems unlikely based on the loaded pool of candidates.

American League MVP candidates

Juan Soto, New York Yankees – +660

Newcomers get more attention than players who have been with a team for years and that is especially true for the New York Yankees. Juan Soto is the fresh face at Yankee Stadium and if New York wins the AL East in 2024, Soto will be one of the biggest reasons for it. He should put up numbers that will rival Aaron Judge’s statistics and there will also likely be MVP voters wanting a first-timer to take it home.

Aaron Judge, New York Yankees – +550

A big part of winning a second MVP comes down to health for Aaron Judge. A prolonged absence in 2023 cost him, but everyone saw what he was capable of – .291/.404/.674, 187 wRC+, 19 home runs – prior to that season-altering injury. If there’s one advantage Judge will hold over Soto, it’s the added value of playing center field for the Yankees this season.

Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros – +900

Never sleep on Yordan Alvarez as an MVP candidate. Entering July of 2022, the Houston Astros slugger slashed .316/.412/.653 with a 200 wRC+, 23 home runs and 56 RBI in 67 games. Then, a right-hand injury put him on the IL and then bothered him through August. In 2023, Alvarez hit 17 home runs with 55 RBI and a .277/.388/.589 slash line in his first 57 games. Unfortunately, an oblique strain in June sidelined him until 26. When he returned, Alvarez slashed .308/.425/.577 with 14 home runs and 42 RBI in his final 57 games. If the Astros can even get 145 games out of Alvarez, he’ll have the numbers to win MVP.

Who is leading the MLB MVP race?

Mookie Betts and Juan Soto are our current front-runners in the MLB MVP race for the 2024 season before Opening Day.

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Who is favored to win NL MVP?

Atlanta Braves outfielder Ronald Acuña Jr (+525) is favored to win NL MVP, followed by Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts (+650) and Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (+900) in the latest NL MVP odds.

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Who is favored to win AL MVP?

Aaron Judge is favored to win AL MVP in 2024 (+550) followed by New York Yankees teammate Juan Soto (+600) and Houston Astros outfielder Yordan Alvarez (+900).

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Who will win MLB MVP?

Our current 2024 MLB MVP picks are Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts for National League MVP and New York Yankees outfielder Juan Soto for American League MVP.

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MLB MVP history and FAQ

Here’s everything you need to know about the MLB MVP awards, including its history and when it is announced by Major League Baseball.

Has anyone ever won Rookie of the Year and MVP?

Fred Lynn (1975) and Ichiro Suzuki (2001) are the only players in MLB history to win Rookie of the Year and MLB MVP in the same season. Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll has the opportunity to join the exclusive club in 2023.

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Why does baseball have 2 MVPs?

There are two MLB MVP awards because Major League Baseball provides awards for both the American League and the National League. Just like with MVP, there are AL & NL honors for the Cy Young Award, Comeback Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year, Manager of the Year and Reliever of the Year.

MLB MVP winners by year

• 2023 – National League MVP – Ronald Acuńa Jr, Atlanta Braves
• 2023 – American League MVP – Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels
• 2022 – American League MVP – Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
• 2022 – National League MVP – Paul Goldschmidt, St. Louis Cardinals
• 2021 – American League MVP – Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels
• 2021 – National League MVP – Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies
• 2020 – American League MVP – José Abreu, Chicago White Sox
• 2020 – National League MVP – Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves
• 2019 – American League MVP – Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels
• 2019 – National League MVP – Cody Bellinger, Los Angeles Dodgers
• 2018 – American League MVP – Mookie Betts, Boston Red Sox
• 2018 – National League – Christian Yelich, Milwaukee Brewers
• 2017 – American League MVP – Jose Altuve, Houston Astros
• 2017 – National League – Giancarlo Stanton, Miami Marlins

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Who has the most MVPs in MLB?

Barry Bonds won seven MLB MVP awards during his career. The San Francisco Giants icon holds the MLB record for most MVPs, winning them in 1990, ’92, ’92 and 2001-’04.

Who is the youngest MLB MVP winner?

Johnny Bench is the youngest player to win MLB MVP. The former Cincinnati Reds catcher won MVP in 1970 at the age of 22 years and 26 days old, just surpassing Vida Blue (22 years, 3 months and 30 days in 1971). During that 1970 season, Bench hit 45 home runs with 148 RBIs a .293 batting average and a .932 OPS.

Who votes for MLB MVP?

The Baseball Writers Association of America votes for MLB MVP. There are 60 total voters for MVP honors, with 30 voting for the National League MVP and another 30 voting for the American League MVP.

Who has 3 MLB MVPs?

There have been 11 players in baseball history to win three MVPs. Most recently, Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout became the latest player to win his third AL MVP. Before that, Albert Pujols and Alex Rodriguez became the first players to do it since Barry Bonds.

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MLB players with three MVPs

• Barry Bonds – 7 – 1990, ’92, ’92, 2001-’04
• Mike Trout – 3 – 2014, ’16, ’19
• Alex Rodriguez – 3 – 2003, ’05, ’07
• Albert Pujols – 3 – 2005, ’08, ’09
• Mike Schmidt – 3 – 1980, ’81, ’86
• Yogi Berra – 3 – 1951, ’54, ’55
• Stan Musial – 3 – 1943, ’46, ’48
• Mickey Mantle – 3 – 1956, ’57, ’62
• Roy Campanella – 3 – 1951, ’53, ’55
• Joe Dimaggio – 3 – 1939, ’41, ’47
• Jimmie Foxx – 1932, ’33, ’38

2023 MLB MVP race: Sportsnaut’s AL and NL MVP ballots

NL MVP race

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	HRs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1	Ronald Acuña Jr	.337/.416/.596	1.012	41	106	170	8.3	8.1
2	Mookie Betts	.307/.408/.579	.987	39	107	167	8.3	8.4
3	Matt Olson	.283/.389/.604	.993	54	139	160	6.6	7.4
4	Freddie Freeman	.331/.410/.567	.976	29	102	163	7.9	6.6
5	Corbin Carroll	.285/.362/.506	.868	25	76	133	6.0	5.4

1. Ronald Acuña Jr, Atlanta Braves – Ronald Acuña Jr. is our choice for NL MVP. The Atlanta Braves star has slashed .325/.382/.713 in September with a 1.095 OPS, nine home runs and 17 RBI. Atlanta is 98-53 with Acuña in the lineup this season. Ultimately, the deciding factor in our MLB MVP race is Acuña going 6-for-17 with three home runs and a 1.362 OPS in a head-to-head matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers to open the month. Those wins secured home-field advantage for Atlanta.
2. Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers – Since the All-Star Break, Mookie Betts leads the National League in batting average (.357), wRC+ (188) and FanGraphs’ Wins Above Replacement (3.8). He’s been the best player in baseball in the second half of the season. You could truly go either way with your National League MVP pick, our choice is Acuna by a hair.
3. Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves – Matt Olson has been on a tear in September, recording 27 hits (10 home runs) with 20 RBI and a 13-13 K-BB rate in 10 games. While the Atlanta Braves only have a 10-10 record to show for it, Freeman’s 1.217 OPS this month is one of the best in baseball. In ordinary years, he might have a shot at winning NL MVP. Obviously, that’s not happening in 2023.
4. Freddie Freeman, Los Angeles Dodgers – Freddie Freeman saved his worth month of baseball for September and that’s by his own standard. In 18 contests this month, Freeman is responsible for a .290/.380/.406 slash line with a .786 OPS. There are 90-plus percent of MLB players who would love to have those numbers, but it’s a disappointment for Freeman. Outstanding production from April through August are what at least earned Freeman a few NL MVP votes.
5. Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks – Few, if anyone, expected the Arizona Diamondbacks to make the playoffs this season. Without Corbin Carroll, Arizona isn’t playing in October. He’s going to win NL Rookie of the Year in a landslide, but the 135 wRC+, 6 Wins Above Replacement and his overall contributions to Arizona all year (50 steals) earn Carroll fifth on our NL MVP ballot.

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AL MVP ballot 2023

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	HRs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1	Shohei Ohtani	.304/.412/.654	1.066	44	95	180	10	10.1
2	Corey Seager	.327/.390/.623	1.013	33	96	169	6.1	6.9
3	Julio Rodriguez	.275/.333/.485	.818	32	103	126	5.9	5.3
4	Marcus Semien	.276/.348/.478	.826	29	100	124	6.3	7.4
5	Kyle Tucker	.284/.369/.517	.886	29	112	140	4.9	6.3

1. Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels – Shohei Ohtani is the AL MVP winner for everything he did before August. From March 30 – July 31, Ohtani posted a 1.087 OPS with 39 home runs, 81 RBI, 12 steals and 17 doubles. On top of that, he pitched at an All-Star level (3.14 ERA, 167 Ks in 132 IP). Ohtani is the most valuable player in all of baseball.
2. Corey Seager, Texas Rangers – Corey Seager came the closest to challenging Ohtani for AL MVP, yet it was never that close. wo stints on the injured list really slowed down Seager’s momentum, costing him a shot at statistics that would’ve rivaled Ohtani’s with the bat. Then again, a bad September (.263/.298/.575, .873 OPS) might’ve ruled out a late run anyway. Still, a fantastic year for Seager.
3. Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners – We saw multiple versions of Julio Rodriguez this season. The Seattle Mariners star struggled early, posting a .238/.302/.407 slash line with a .710 OPS, 13 home runs and 18 stolen bases in his first 78 games (Seattle went 36-42). Then, Rodriguez lifted the to a 35-13 record in June and July behind his 1.010 OPS with 11 home runs, 17 steals and a .360/.413/.597 slash line in 48 games. September, though, has brought back an in-between version of J-Rod. One thing is for certain, Rodriguez will be a perennial AL MVP candidate moving forward.
4. Marcus Semien, Texas Rangers – Marcus Semien obliterated baseballs in May (21 RBI, .322/.385/.513) and recorded the longest hitting streak in baseball this season. Outside of that, he largely hit right at an All-Star level this year. Of course, what separates Semien from other infielders in 2023 were his 15 Defensive Runs Saved, one of the highest marks among middle infielders.
5. Kyle Tucker, Houston Astros – Kyle Tucker was moderately productive through the first two months of the season, slashing .267/.346/.429 with a .775 OPS and 33 RBI. After that, he played at an MVP-caliber level. The Houston Astros star slashed .292/.380/.561 after June 1 – October 1, posting a .942 OPS with 22 home runs, 23 steals and 79 RBI. In a year that saw Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez miss time, Tucker was the stabilizing force that kept Houston going.

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MLB MVP 2022 results

New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won AL MVP in 2022, becoming the first Yankees’ player since Alex Rodriguez (2007) to win MVP honors.

Here’s a breakdown on how I would’ve voted in the MLB MVP races 2022, starting with AL MVP followed by NL MVP.

AL MVP race

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	Home Runs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1.	Aaron Judge	.311/.425/.686	1.111	62	131	207	11.4	10.6
2.	Shohei Ohtani	.273/.356/.519	.875	34	95	142	9.4	9.6
3.	Yordan Alvarez	.306/.406/.613	1.019	37	97	185	6.6	6.8
4.	Andres Gimenez	.297/.371/.466	.837	17	69	140	6.1	7.2
5.	Jose Altuve	.300/.387/.533	.921	28	57	164	6.6	5.6

Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is the AL MVP. While Shohei Ohtani put up a phenomenal fight this season, Judge delivered a caliber of historical greatness that will rightfully go down as one of the best seasons in MLB history.

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Use whatever stats you want. Judge is the first player in MLB history with 60-plus home runs, 90-plus walks and 15-plus steals in a season. He entered Saturday with the ninth-highest FanGraphs’ Wins Above Replacement (10.7) since 1950.

There is also so much more to consider from the star who is on the verge of becoming just the fifth Triple Crown winner in the last 75 years. Judge hit 60 home runs in a season when no other player sniffed 50. All of this in a contract year, betting on himself and delivering in historic fashion. If all of that isn’t enough, a 266 wRC+ in the second half (no other player above 185), 20.3% walk rate and 27 home runs in the second half solidify Judge as MLB MVP.

Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels

Shohei Ohtani wins AL MVP in any other season. The two-way phenom delivered a season like we’ve never seen before. He is the first player since 1900 to face 600 batters and have 600-plus plate appearances (Sarah Langs). He struck out 200-plus batters this season and was part of the 30-homer club, something no other player in MLB history has ever come close to approaching.

Incredibly, Ohtani saved his best stuff for the second half. Entering September 24, Ohtani boasted a .291/.374/.612 slash line with 15 home runs and a 170 wRC+ since the All-Star Break. On the mound, Ohtani sports a 2.59 ERA with a 10.91 K/9, 29.6% strikeout rate and .229 batting average allowed in the second half.

AL MVP ballots should be relatively close, Judge shouldn’t be a unanimous selection. Ohtani’s exceptional play both on the mound and in the batter’s box makes him the best player in MLB. Ultimately, it just isn’t enough to win a second consecutive AL MVP award in a year like this.

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NL MVP race: Nolan Arenado vs Paul Goldschmidt

Pos:	Player	AVG/OBP/SLG	OPS	Home Runs	RBI	wRC+	fWAR	bWAR
1.	Nolan Arenado	.293/.358/.533	.891	30	103	151	7.3	7.9
2.	Paul Goldschmidt	.317/.404/.578	.981	35	115	177	7.1	7.8
3.	Manny Machado	.298/.366/.531	.898	32	102	152	7.4	6.8
4.	Freddie Freeman	.325/.407/.511	.918	21	100	157	7.1	5.9
5.	Austin Riley	.273/.349/.528	.878	38	93	142	5.5	6.5