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UFC 272 Odds: Colby Covington favored while public backs Jorge Masvidal

Nov 6, 2021; New York, NY, USA; Kamaru Usman (red gloves) competes against Colby Covington (blue gloves) during UFC 268 at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports
Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports

A rare non-title headliner tops the bill at UFC 272 on Saturday night.

Former training partners Jorge Masvidal (35-15) and Colby Covington (16-3), both fighting out of South Florida, will square off in the welterweight main event of the fight card at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

“This is just a personal rivalry, this isn’t about the money,” Covington said at media day. “I didn’t come here to fight for money. I took a pay cut, I didn’t care about the money for this fight. This is about settling a blood rivalry.”

Covington is the -335 favorite at DraftKings and has even shorter odds at -350 at BetMGM, where he opened at -370. However, the public has been drawn to Masvidal’s underdog odds. He is +260 at both sportsbooks and has been backed by 56 percent of the handle at DraftKings and 85 percent at BetMGM.

Masvidal opened at +280 at BetMGM but those odds shortened with 86 percent of the total tickets backing him.

Competing in the same weight class, the duo were training partners at the vaunted American Top Team gym in Coconut Creek, Fla. But things went sideways between the two.

Covington, adopting a pro wrestling style persona, badmouthed Masvidal publicly, considered a no-no in MMA gym culture. Masvidal also accused Covington of stiffing a cornerman on his portion of Covington’s pay after a fight.

Both were kicked out of the gym as their beef heated up, but ultimately Masvidal was invited back while Covington’s ban became permanent.

Masvidal, for his part, says this fight won’t end the animosity.

“I can’t respect him in any way, shape or form,” Masvidal said. “With Colby, it will always for as long as we live, we’ll always have a problem.”

Grudge aspect notwithstanding, there’s also a practical aspect to this fight: Both have lost twice to current welterweight champion Kamaru Usman, so both desperately need a victory to stay relevant.

The evening’s co-feature bout has a last-minute twist.

Rafael Fiziev had to drop out of his key lightweight fight with former champion Rafael dos Anjos (30-13) due to a positive COVID-19 diagnosis, so Renato Moicano (16-4-1) flew 19 hours from Brazil to take the fight on short notice.

Moicano is 3-1 since moving up from featherweight, winning each of his past two fights. dos Anjos, who is also Brazilian, won his only fight over the past 26 months, but that was back in November 2020.

do Anjos is the -150 favorite at BetMGM, where he has been backed by 68 percent of the bets and 76 percent of the money. The story is similar at DraftKings, where do Anjos has been backed by 64 and 74 percent, respectively, at -170.

–Field Level Media

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