WNBA playoff predictions: Bracket picks & 2024 Finals champion

Our WNBA Playoff predictions are now live with a look at who we predict to win the WNBA Finals.

WNBA Playoff predictions: Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty
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Our WNBA Playoff predictions are now live with a look at the eight teams we project to make the postseason. Will Caitlin Clark lead her Indiana Fever to the playoffs? Will the Las Vegas Aces three-peat as champs after going back-to-back?

The WNBA is growing in popularity. The on-court product continues to improve. Expansion is the name of the game, too. With all of that as a backdrop, let’s look our our updated WNBA Playoff predictions for 2024.

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WNBA Playoff predictions: Seeding 1-8

8. Atlanta Dream

WNBA: Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury
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We have the Atlanta Dream as No. 8 in our most-recent WNBA Playoff predictions. The team is off to a solid 4-3 start to the campaign. Rhyne Howard (16.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and Alisha Gray (16.3 PPG) are headlining things. Tina Charles has also stepped up with 9.6 rebounds per outing. They need to get more from the rest of the roster. But things are looking good here.

7. Phoenix Mercury

WNBA Playoff predictions: Brittney Griner, Phoenix Mercury
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Related: Indiana Fever 2024 WNBA schedule

Brittney Griner returned to the Mercury last season after missing the entire 2022 campaign. Our WNBA Playoff now take into account the big missing several weeks due to injury. Despite this, the top-heavy roster should be able to contend for a spot.

Outside of Griner, there are ample reasons for this. The Mercury added Rebecca Allen, Natasha Cloud and Kahleah Cooper to the rotation this past offseason. Of them, we’re highly intrigued to see how Cloud looks with Griner. She averaged a career-best 12.7 points to go with 3.7 rebounds and 6.2 assists for the Washington Mystics a season ago.

Related: Updated WNBA power rankings

6. Dallas Wings

Dallas Wings' Arike Ogunbowale
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Satou Sabally and Arike Ogunbowale are what makes the Wings go. In fact, this team gave the Las Vegas Aces some major problems during the 2023 regular season. We’re talking about a potentially elite inside-out game.

Ogunbowale averaged 20.2 points last season. She just needs to be more effective (40% shooting, 35% three-point). If that happens, Dallas could very well surprise people.

5. Minnesota Lynx

WNBA Playoff predictions: Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx
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Minnesota finished last season with a 19-21 record, losing to the Connecticut Sun in the first round of the playoffs. Napheesa Collier did her thing big time, averaging 21.5 points and 8.5 rebounds on 49% shooting from the field. Though, she’s going to need more help if Minnesota is to improve in 2024.

Rookie No. 8 pick Alissa Pili should help big time. We’re also intrigued to see how Alanna Smith performs after making her way from the Chicago Sky. The former Stanford star finished No. 3 in the Most Improved Player voting a season ago. Her ability in the low-post could be a difference-maker.

4. Seattle Storm

WNBA: Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury
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Our WNBA Playoff predictions has Seattle being among the most-improved teams in the league. Adding six-time All-Star guard Skylar Diggins-Smith to the mix is going to help big time. She returns to the Pacific Northwest after spending the past three seasons with the Mercury.

Seattle also drafted defensive ace Nika Mühl in the second round of the annual event. The hope is that she can act the part of a stopper when it comes to going up against the likes of Jackie Young and Kelsey Plum of the Las Vegas Aces. Either way, a solid 5-3 start to the season adds another layer to that.

Related: Details on Caitlin Clark’s WNBA contract

3. Connecticut Sun

WNBA Playoff predictions: DeWanna Bonner, Connecticut Suns
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Connecticut was spectacular last season, finishing with a 27-13 record. Unfortuantely, it could not get past the New York Liberty in the semifinals. That series saw the Sun lose three games to one.

The good news? These Sun return leading scorer DeWanne Bonner (17.4 PPG) along with co-star Brionna Jones (15.9 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 1.8 SPG). Former No. 4 pick Alyssa Thomas also returns after averaging a career high 15.5 points to go with 9.9 rebounds and 7.9 assists a season ago. This trio will make the Sun a threat, as evidenced in our WNBA Playoff prediction and the Sun’s 8-0 start to the season.

2. New York Liberty

WNBA Playoff predictions: New York Liberty
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Reigning WNBA MVP Breanna Stewart and the Liberty are pretty much running it back after losing to the Aces in the WNBA Finals last season. Stewart is obviously the biggest cog for New York. She averaged 23.0 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists on 47% shooting in her first season with NY.

Our WNBA Playoff predictions are largely based on Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Courtney Vandersloot and Jonquel Jones doing their thing. The question here is whether they have enough after the big four to compete with Vegas. A 7-2 start to the season tells us a story here.

Related: Ranking the 20-best WNBA players right now

1. Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas Aces, WNBA Playoff predictions
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Candace Parker’s decision to retire really shouldn’t have a major impact on the two-time defending WNBA champions. She barely played in her first season with the team. In reality, the Aces are set up extremely well to three-peat.

A’Ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Kelsey Plum and Chelsea Gray are all running it back after leading Vegas to an absurd 34-6 record a season ago. Our 2024 WNBA Playoff predictions have Vegas finishing with the best regular-season record again. However, Gray’s return from injury will loom large here.

Related: A retrospective on Candace Parker’s brilliant WNBA career

WNBA Playoff predictions: Quarterfinals

WNBA Playoff predictions
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1) Las Vegas Aces over 8) Atlanta Dream (2-0)

5) Minnesota Lynx over 4) Seattle Storm (2-1)

3) Connecticut Sun over 6) Dallas Wings (2-0)

2) New York Liberty over 7) Phoenix Mercury (2-0)

WNBA Playoff predictions: Semifinals

WNBA: Finals-Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm
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1) Las Vegas Aces over 5) Minnesota Lynx (3-1)

2) New York Liberty over 3) Connecticut Sun (3-2)

WNBA Finals predictions

Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty, WNBA Playoffs
Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

1) Las Vegas Aces over 2) New York Liberty (3-1)

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