The second game of Conference Championship weekend in the NFL is an NFC West battle between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams, who are both seeking their second Super Bowl appearance in the past three years.
These defenses are much stouter than on the AFC side, so our Same Game Parlay is just three legs and comes to you with +434 odds at FanDuel.
3-Leg SGP
–Cooper Kupp 90+ receiving yards
–Deebo Samuel TD
–Rams moneyline
Cooper Kupp 90+ receiving yards:
Kupp has been near automatic this season, averaging 115.3 receiving yards per game and leading the NFL in all three receiving categories.
His over/under is currently 103.5 yards. It’s a number I like, but we bring a discounted total over to our SGP for some insurance.
Kupp has gone over this total in 17 of 19 games this season, a tremendous hit-rate and one we can feel confident about.
He has been rock-solid against this Niners defense in the two previous meetings this season, finishing with 122 and 118 receiving yards.
San Francisco has been generous to wide receiver success this season and considering Kupp has had big games both times, it’s reasonable to expect another big game.
Kupp should be able to get open deep for multiple big plays. San Francisco has allowed 54 passing plays of 20-plus yards this season, 13th-most in the NFL.
Deebo Samuel TD:
Samuel has a nose for the end zone and the swiss army knife will be a focal point of the San Francisco offense on Sunday, just as he has been all season.
Samuel has a touchdown in 12 of 18 games this season and three total against the Rams. He has scored on the ground in both games against Los Angeles and I expect the 49ers to have some success moving the ball.
Samuel gives us flexibility on how he’ll score and I like the consistency and utilization from the 49ers’ weapon.
Rams moneyline:
We end with a moneyline addition, going with the Rams to exact revenge after losing six consecutive games to San Francisco.
I just believe Los Angeles is the superior team. I think the Rams’ defense, namely their defensive line, is the best in football, and success often starts in the trenches.
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is playing great football and is far superior to counterpart Jimmy Garoppolo. He was brought to Los Angeles for this moment and with the only defensive vulnerability on the field the San Francisco secondary, the Rams are well-equipped to take advantage on Sunday.
I think coach Sean McVay and the Rams get the 49ers monkey off their back and go on to be the second team in a row to play host to the Super Bowl in their home stadium.
That wraps the +434 SGP for the NFC Championship Game. Kupp is my favorite addition of the bunch, so even if you don’t agree with the other inclusions I think he is the safest addition you can wager on.
Enjoy the game!
–Griffin Carroll (@griffybets), Field Level Media