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NFL Week 17 odds and point spreads

NFL Week 17 odds and point spreads: Cardinals-Rams
Dec 26, 2020; Glendale, AZ, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) grimaces as he walks to the locker room after losing to the San Francisco 49ers at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Schumacher/The Arizona Republic via USA TODAY NETWORK Nfl San Francisco 49ers At Arizona Cardinals

NFL Week 17 odds and point spreads are not what you might think. Unlike any other week of NFL action, there’s a lot of other factors to take into account.

The Los Angeles Chargers being favored over the defending champion Chiefs comes to mind first. With Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City’s starters likely sitting this out, it’s a must-avoid matchup in the betting world.

On the other hand, there’s a few huge NFL Week 17 games on top. Can the Chicago Bears shockingly earn a playoff appearance with a win over the Green Bay Packers? Who is set to come out on top in a huge NFC West tilt between the Rams and Cardinals?

Here, we look at the NFL Week 17 odds and point spreads with a brief analysis about each game.

Update: Jan. 3, 9:50 AM EST

Related: NFL Week 17 schedule, predictions

NFL Week 17 Sunday games, Vegas odds

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

NFL Week 17 odds: Jaguars-Colts
Dec 27, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; A fan dresses in a Grinch costume during the second half of a game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Chicago Bears at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Jaguars-Colts Week 17 point spread: Colts -14.0 (over/under 48.5) 

Now in position to land Trevor Lawrence with the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the Jaguars have lost their past three games by a combined 71 points. Doug Marrone and Co. have dropped 14 consecutive outings and are being outscored by an average of nearly 12 points per game. Taking on a Colts team that’s in need of a win to advance to the playoffs, Jacksonville has already called it for the 2020 season. Needless to say, Indianapolis at -14.0 seems to be a good bet in this NFL Week 17 game.

Related: NFL mock draft 2022 – Quarterbacks make NFL history

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

NFL Week 17 point spreads: Texans-Titans
Dec 27, 2020; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans defensive end J.J. Watt (99) waits with teammates to walk onto the field before a game against the Cincinnati Bengals at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Titans-Texans Week 17 point spread: Titans -7.0 (over/under 55.0)

The early success that Houston saw under interim head coach Romeo Crennel is now a thing of the past. These Texans have dropped four consecutive games, including a brutal Week 16 loss to the hapless Cincinnati Bengals that saw their defense yield 37 points. All said, Houston has given up an average of 37 points over the past three games. Two of those outings against offenses in that of the Bears and Bengals who ranked in the bottom five of the NFL in scoring at the time. Putting up north of 31 points per game this season, the Titans are going to have no problem with Houston here.

Related: Texans head coach search

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL Week 17 odds: Falcons-Buccaneers
Dec 27, 2020; Kansas City, MO, USA; Atlanta Falcons head coach Raheem Morris against the Kansas City Chiefs in the first half of a NFL game at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Falcons-Buccaneers Week 17 point spread: Buccaneers -7.0 (over/under 50.5)

Up 14-10 against the defending champion Chiefs by virtue of a Laquon Treadwell touchdown late in the fourth quarter last week, the Falcons had an opportunity to right that wrongs that included multiple late-game meltdowns during a disastrous 2020 season. Instead, Atlanta allowed the Chiefs to drive down the field for a touchdown and a 17-14 win.

Atlanta has lost its past four games by a combined 15 points, three of them coming against teams that have already clinched playoff appearances. All said, eight of the Falcons’ 11 losses have come by one score this season. Could that change with the Buccaneers starters iffy for Week 17? Perhaps, but I would be somewhat leery of the Bucs’ seven-point spread.

Related: Top candidates to become Falcons new head coach

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

NFL Week 17 point spreads: Cowboys-Giants
Dec 27, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) runs with the ball for a touchdown in the fourth quarter against Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Alex Singleton (49) at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Cowboys-Giants Week 17 point spread: Cowboys -1.5 (over/under 44.5)

Dallas’ 37-17 win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week represented the team’s third consecutive victory after starting 3-9 on the season. During this three-game run, Mike McCarthy and Co. are averaging nearly 33 points per game. It’s the first time since the start of the 2019 campaign that the Cowboys have reeled off three consecutive. The Giants are in a different boat heading into this must-win outing, having scored 26 points during their ongoing three-game skid. With Dallas at -1.5 heading into Jersey, the expectation is that it will cover (and then some).

Related: If you’re a fan of the Cowboys, check out #DallasCowboys rumors, rankings, and news here.

New York Jets at New England Patriots

NFL Week 17 odds: Jets-Patriots
Dec 27, 2020; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets head coach Adam Gase talks with quarterback Sam Darnold (14) during the second half against the Cleveland Browns at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Jets-Patriots Week 17 point spread: Patriots -3.0 (over/under 40.0)

It’s rather hilarious to look at. By virtue of their Week 15 upset win over the Rams and last Sunday’s victory against Cleveland, these Jets have won two consecutive games. It more than likely cost them an opportunity of landing consensus No. 1 pick Trevor Lawrence in the 2021 NFL Draft. Soon-to-be fired head coach Adam Gase is also 5-4 with the Jets from Dec. 1 on in his two seasons. In every other game the Jets have played under Gase’s leadership, they are 4-18. Can’t believe I am saying this, but Bill Belichick and the struggling Patriots don’t make sense at -3.5

Related: Top Patriots QB options for 2021

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Week 17 points spread: Chargers-Chiefs
Dec 6, 2020; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass during the first half against the Denver Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Chargers-Chiefs Week 17 point spread: Chargers -5.5 (over/under 43.0)

Update: Patrick Mahomes won’t play, Chad Henne to start

This is how you know NFL Week 17 can get wonky. The Chargers are more than a field goal favorite to take out a Chiefs team that has won 23 of its past 24, postseason included, since Week 10 of the 2019 season. Interestingly enough, the Chargers have also played these Chiefs well during the Patrick Mahomes era. Only 28 points separate these two teams in the five games they’ve played since the start of the 2018 season. With Mahomes and fellow starters resting in Week 17, I fully expect Los Angeles to finish its season winners of four consecutive.

Related: Top NFL Rookie of the Year favorites

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

NFL Week 17 odds: Lions-Vikings
Dec 26, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions defensive back Tracy Walker (21) forces Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Tyler Johnson (18) out of bounds during the third quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Vikings-Lions Week 17 point spread: Vikings -4.0 (over/under 54.0)

How bad is it in Detroit right now? Chase Daniel and David Blough both saw action during an humiliating 47-7 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 16. That game was so out of hand that Tom Brady was pulled after two quarters, harkening back memories of small-school pay-for-play models in college football. All said, the Lions have given up 195 points over the past five games. Even without the Vikings playing for anything after being eliminated, Kirk Cousins and Co. couldn’t possibly screw this up, right? It’s NFL Week 17. Expect anything.

Related: Top candidates to become Lions next head coach

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

NFL Week 17 point spread: Steelers-Browns
Dec 27, 2020; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets outside linebacker Tarell Basham (93) sacks Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) causing a fumble recovered by the Jets during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers-Browns Week 17 point spread: Browns -9.5 (over/under 43.5)

Update: Jarvis Landry, other top Browns WR’s, to be activated from COVID-19 list

Update: Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, OLB TJ Watt, TE Eric Ebron will not play

Unfortunate. One day before their Week 16 matchup against the then one-win Jets, the Browns learned that their top-four receivers would be out due to COVID-19 protocols. A win last week would have all but guaranteed a rare playoff appearance for Cleveland. Instead, they need a Week 17 win over Pittsburgh or some help in order to make the postseason for the first time since 2002. This, despite the fact that Cleveland is 10-5 on the season.

The good news? Pittsburgh will rest Ben Roethlisberger and other starters after clinching the AFC North last Sunday. The good news? Steelers quarterbacks not named Big Ben have thrown 29 touchdowns against 35 interceptions over the past decade. Don’t expect Mason Rudolph to be any different in Week 17, especially with Myles Garrett on the prowl. See what we did there?

Related: NFL defense rankings – Panthers, Bills climb into top 10 before Week 3

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

NFL Week 17 odds: Bengals-Ravens
Nov 22, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) warms up prior to the game against the Tennessee Titans at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

Ravens-Bengals Week 17 point spread: Ravens -14.0 (over/under 44.0)

Winners of four consecutive, Week 17 is rather simple for reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. If they are able to take out a suddenly hot Bengals squad come Sunday, the Ravens will earn a playoff spot after it looked a bit sketchy during Jackson’s bout with COVID-19. Baltimore’s four-game winning streak has included it averaging 37 points per. As for the Bengals being a roadblock? Well, Jackson is 4-0 in his career against Cincinnati and has led Baltimore to an average victory of 17.3 points in those four “contests.” Math can be your friend here.

Related: Ranking NFL’s top quarterbacks

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

NFL Week 17 odds: Packers-Bears
Dec 27, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Chicago Bears ight end Jimmy Graham (80) and quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (10) celebrate after a touchdown against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the first quarter at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Packers-Bears Week 17 point spread: Packers -4.5 (over/under 49.5)

Do or die game for Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears. It’s actually pretty stunning what the embattled quarterback has done recently, leading to speculation heading into NFL Week 17 action that Chicago might actually re-sign him. The Bears have won three consecutive following last week’s 41-17 victory over Jacksonville. All said, Trubisky is leading this team to an average of 32.5 points over the past four games. Will it matter against the top-seeded Packers come Week 17? That all depends on whether Aaron Rodgers plays in an otherwise meaningless game for Green Bay. All he’s done in his career against the Bears is boast a 19-5 record with 51 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Chicago better hope the Packers rest their starters in this must-win game.

Related: NFL playoff predictions

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

NFL Week 17: Saints-Panthers
Nov 15, 2020; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) celebrates after a touchdown by running back Alvin Kamara (not pictured) during the second half against the San Francisco 49ers at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Saints-Panthers Week 17 point spread: Saints -6.0 (over/under 47.5)

Injury update: Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey, Saints RBs Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray (COVID-19) out

Now that the Saints have nothing to play for, I am openly wondering whether Jameis Winston will actually be given a shot to prove himself heading into free agency. Regardless of that little tidbit, there’s another interesting backstory to this NFL Week 17 game. Carolina has not beaten a winning team since taking out the Saints back in Week 17 of the 2018 season. The common denominator here? New Orleans also rested its starters in that one. Fresh off a second win since Week 5, I fully expect history to repeat itself come Sunday.

Related: Top NFL free agents of 2022 – Davante Adams likely to hit market

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

NFL Week 17: Dolphins-Bills
Dec 26, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick (14) throws against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Dolphins-Bills Week 17 point spread: Bills -1.5 (over/under 42.0)

It’s one of those NFL Week 17 games I would avoid from a betting perspective. Buffalo has very little to play for here given that it has clinched the AFC East and will not have a first-round bye. I fully expect head coach Sean McDermott to sit Josh Allen and Co.

Related: If you’re a fan of the Buffalo Bills, check out #Bills rumors, rankings, and news here.

On the other hand, Miami sits at 10-5 on the season and tied with four other teams for the final four playoff spots in the AFC. Even with a loss, the upstart Dolphins will earn a playoff appearance if one of Baltimore, Cleveland or Indianapolis loses on Sunday. Will Ryan Fitzpatrick get the start after leading the team to victory following the benching of Tua Tagovailoa last week? It’s an interesting storyline in a game I would avoid at all cost.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

NFL Week 17 odds: Seahawks-49ers
Dec 26, 2020; Glendale, Arizona, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback C.J. Beathard (3) is tackled by Arizona Cardinals strong safety Budda Baker (32) in the fourth quarter at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Billy Hardiman-USA TODAY Sports

Seahawks-49ers Week 17 point spread: Seahawks -7.0 (over/under 46.0)

Update: Brandon Aiyuk, Trent Williams will not play for 49ers

Seattle has really nothing to play for outside of a top-two seed in a season that will see the second seed have to play a wildcard game. Does Pete Carroll really want to risk injury against a hungry 49ers squad that’s coming off a surprising Week 16 win over the Cardinals and is angry after an injury-plagued 2020 campaign? I am not too sure in this NFL Week 17 game.

Related: NFL television ratings for 2020 season

Seattle at -4.5 could make sense if Russell Wilson and Co. were to suit up here. I just don’t see how the Seahawks can make the decision to do that. If not, look for the 49ers to win their final “home” game of the season in Arizona to finish a disappointing 7-9.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

NFL Week 17 point spreads: Rams-Cardinals
Dec 27, 2020; Seattle, Washington, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff (16) returns to the sideline following a turnover on downs against the Seattle Seahawks during the third quarter at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Cardinals-Rams Week 17 point spread: Cardinals -3.0 (over/under 41.0)

Injury update: Rams QB Jared Goff (thumb), Cooper Kupp (COVID) out

Injury update: Cardinals QB Kyler Murray (leg) will play Week 17

As poorly as Jared Goff has played over the past three games (three touchdowns, three interceptions), Rams fans would more than be happy with him getting this Week 17 start in a do-or-die game. Instead, it looks like Los Angeles will be forced to roll with undrafted free agent John Wolford under center with Goff nursing a broken thumb.

Related: Is Jared Goff the answer in LA?

This could not be a better situation for a Cardinals team that’s in need of a win and some help in order to earn a playoff spot following last week’s humiliating home loss to the 49ers. Then again, Los Angeles fell to C.J. Beathard in that game. It was his second win in 11 career NFL starts and included the quarterback throwing for three scores. The theme here? This seems to be a pick em game.

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

NFL Week 17 odds: Raiders-Broncos
Dec 26, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders head coach Jon Gruden against the Miami Dolphins at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Raiders-Broncos Week 17 point spread: Raiders -2.5 (over/under 50.5)

Speaking of pick em games, what do we even do about this one? By virtue of another late-game meltdown at the hands of the Dolphins in Week 16, Las Vegas has dropped five of six since a 6-3 start to the season. That six-game span has seen its defense give up an average of 34.3 points per game. Talk about disaster.

Related: Top Raiders QB options for 2021

Let us not forget about the Denver Broncos. They fell to the Chargers by the score of 19-16 in Week 16 and have seen 19 of their 35 games under Vic Fangio decided by one score. There’s a moral to this story. Expect a close game with Denver narrowly coming out on top.

NFL Week 17 Sunday Night Football, NFL betting odds

Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles

NFL Week 17 point spreads: Washingon-Eagles
Dec 27, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (2) runs the ball against Dallas Cowboys defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence (90) in the first quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Washington-Eagles Week 17 point spread: Washington -4.0 (over/under 44.0)

Update: Washington releases Dwayne Haskins

Update: Eagles to start Jalen Hurts

NFL fans getting what they hoped for. A Week 17 game that could decide a division winner. The bad news? Said division winner could actually be 6-10 should the Giants defeat Dallas earlier on Sunday with Doug Pederson and the downtrodden Eagles taking out Washington on primetime.

Related: Time for the Eagles to fire Doug Pederson

The drama is real. Who will start under center for Washington after Alex Smith missed the past two games to injury? Could Dwayne Haskins make his way back from the abyss and lead WFT to a victory? Don’t bank on it. Since the start of the 2018 season, Smith is 10-5 as a starter. All other starting quarterbacks in the nation’s capital are 6-26 during that span. Riding Jalen Hurts, look for the Eagles to send D.C. to a dark cold winter. Of course, that’s dependent on the status of Mr. Smith.