NFL Week 14 odds and point spreads

By Vincent Frank

NFL Week 14 starts out with a surprisingly interesting game between the Patriots and Rams on Thursday night. New England is 6-6 on the season and in the AFC Playoff race. Meanwhile, the Rams find themselves in first place in the NFC West.

Sunday’s slate includes the Minnesota Vikings taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with wide-ranging playoff ramifications. Meanwhile, the Monday game showcases a surprising 9-3 Browns squad against the struggling Ravens.

Here, we look at the NFL Week 14 odds and point spreads while giving you a one-line about each game.

Updated: Dec. 13, 10:15 AM EST

Related: NFL Week 14 schedule, predictions

NFL Week 14 Sunday games, Vegas odds

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Titans-Jaguars Week 14 point spread: Titans -7.5 (over/under 52.5)

Related: If you’re a fan of the Titans, check out #Titans rumors, rankings, and news here.

How bad has it been for the Titans on defense in recent weeks? Since starting the season 5-0, this unit has given up an average of 27 points per game. Taking on teams with winning records, that number inflates to north of 30 points. Why the focus on this stat? Tennessee as near double-digit favorites against a Jags squad that has lost its past two games by a combined five points against the Browns and Vikings doesn’t make much sense. While I expect the struggling Titans to come out on top here, don’t look for them to cover.

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Vikings-Buccaneers Week 14 point spread: Buccaneers -7.0 (over/under 52.5)

Tom Brady has had a rough go at it over the course of the past four games, throwing eight touchdowns compared to seven interceptions. It’s not a coincidence that the Buccaneers, fresh off their Week 13 bye, are 1-3 during that span. As for the Vikings, their recent 5-1 stretch has included the team forcing an average of two turnovers per outing. With Kirk Cousins playing pretty much mistake-free football, all of the components are in place for Minnesota to not only cover, but win this one outright.

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

Chiefs-Dolphins Week 14 point spread: Chiefs -7.0 (over/under 50.5)

NFL Week 14: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
Sep 28, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) reacts after throwing a fourth quarter touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

It’s rather interesting to look at. Including their narrow Week 13 “Sunday Night Football” win over the Broncos, these Chiefs have won 21 of their past 22 games. However, each of the defending champ’s past four victories have come by one score. As for the 8-4 Dolphins (that’s an actual thing), each of their past three losses have come by one score. The point? Expect a close Week 14 game in South Beach.

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Broncos-Panthers Week 14 point spread: Panthers -3.5 (over/under 47.0)

Update: Christian McCaffrey (shoulder, heal) doubtful

Down by three points with less than six minutes left and with the ball at midfield, Broncos head coach Vic Fangio had another in-game brain fart. Taking on the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs, Fangio opted to punt the ball rather than go for it on fourth-and-three. The end result was a Chiefs touchdown on the ensuing possession and a 4-8 Broncos record. The moral of the story here? I would be hard-pressed to go with a Fangio-led team in a close game. With Carolina at -3.5, that’s exactly what we have in Week 14.

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears

Texans-Bears Week 14 point spread: Texans -1.5 (over/under 46.0)

Related: Bears must fire head coach Matt Nagy

It appears that the Bears are finding new ways to lose games. Having dropped each of their past five heading into Week 13, Matt Nagy’s squad was up 30-20 over the hapless Lions heading into the fourth quarter. What followed? Well, the Lions scored two touchdowns in the final 138 seconds to win 34-30. There’s certainly a moral to this story. Even with the Texans’ ugly Week 13 loss to Indianapolis, I have a hard time envisioning the free-falling Bears rebounding from what we saw Sunday.

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Cardinals-Giants Week 14 point spread: Cardinals -2.5 (over/under 46.5)

Update: Giants QB Daniel Jones (hamstring) expected to play

Despite having won three consecutive games heading in, the Giants found themselves as 11-point home dogs against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13. Riding the likes of Colt McCoy and Alfred Morris on offense, New York shocked the football world with a 17-12 win. The first-place Giants have won four in a row for the first time since 2016 and just the second time since 2012. Given the Cardinals’ recent struggles, it would not be an absolute shock if New York pulled off another upset here.

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Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals

Cowboys-Bengals Week 14 point spread: Cowboys -3.0 (over/under 44.0)

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Cincinnati has now won four of its past 30 games. The focus wasn’t necessarily on this when Joe Burrow was entertaining under center. However, with him lost for the season, these Bengals are simply playing out the string. Even with the Cowboys’ struggles this year, there’s very little reason to believe Brandon Allen will lead Cincinnati to a victory here.

Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders

Colts-Raiders Week 14 point spread: Colts -3.0 (over/under 50.5)

Related: NFL Week 14 power rankings

Shockingly, Indianapolis’ 8-4 record is its best 12-game start since all the way back in 2014. That just goes to show us how much Philip Rivers has acted the part of a stabilizing force for the Colts. As for Las Vegas, this squad is 7-5 for just the second time since 2002. The Colts sit one game ahead of these Raiders for the final playoff spot in the AFC. With such a narrow point spread in the road team’s favor, expect Rivers to do damage against his former division rivals.

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New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks

Jets-Seahawks Week 14 point spread: Seahawks -14.5 (over/under 47.5)

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It’s a trap. At 8-4 on the season, six of the Seahawks’ wins have come by one score. This team is also coming off a humiliating upset road loss to the New York Giants in a game that saw the team as a double-digit favorite. Sure the Jets are 0-12 and just fired their defensive coordinator. That’s fine and dandy. But Seattle has not been friendly to betters this season. This 14.5-point spread is a trap. Avoid it at all costs.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

NFL Week 14 Aaron Rodgers
Dec 23, 2019; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) argues a call during the first quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

Packers-Lions Week 14 point spread: Packers -9.0 (over/under 55.0)

Related: NFL quarterback rankings

Detroit has given up 71 points over the course of its past two games against the likes of the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears. There’s a reason this team fired head coach Matt Patricia ahead of Week 13. Even then, don’t expect a shot in the arm here. Green Bay has scored 30-plus points in all but three games this season. Aaron Rodgers has tossed 36 touchdowns compared to four interceptions. The Lions’ defense is giving up a 102.2 passer rating. You can do the math.

Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers

Falcons-Chargers Week 14 point spread: PK (over/under 49.0)

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For some reason, one unknown to man, Anthony Lynn still has a job in Southern California after his Chargers were blown out by New England in Week 13 by the score of 45-0. It represented the most-lopsided defeat in Chargers franchise history. The Chargers’ defense is also giving up 32 points per game in its past nine outings. Meanwhile, Atlanta is yielding north of 25 points. Take the over here and call it a win.

Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers (in Arizona)

Washington-49ers Week 14 point spread: 49ers -3.0 (over/under 43.5)

Related: NFL defense rankings – Examining top defenses for NFC and AFC Championship Games.

Washington’s shocking win over a previously undefeated Steelers squad in Week 13 pushed the team’s streak to three games. This is the first time since 2018 Washington has won three consecutive and the second time since 2016. The moral of this story? Alex Smith is a winner. Given San Francisco’s ugly Week 13 loss, it wouldn’t be a shock if Washington pulled off a fourth consecutive win.

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

Saints-Eagles Week 14 point spread: Saints -8.0 (over/under 42.5)

Related: NFL Week 14 injury report

Update: Carson Wentz benched

After some initial struggles, New Orleans’ defense has given up a total of 44 points in its past five outings. That’s coincided with Drew Brees’ injury, leading to a continuation of the team’s 10-game winning streak. Even with Jalen Hurts replacing the struggling Carson Wentz in Philadelphia, take the Saints and the over here. Eagles quarterbacks have combined for 17 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in 12 games. Ouch!

NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football, NFL betting odds

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills

NFL Week 14: Josh Allen and Bills
Oct 4, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) gestures against the Las Vegas Raiders in the second quarter at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers-Bills Week 14 point spread: Bills -2.5 (over/under 49.0)

There’s something happening in Western New York. For the first time since the Jim Kelly era, Buffalo has started a season 9-3 for the second consecutive time. More than anything, that’s been about the performance of Josh Allen under center. Through the teams first 12 games, Allen has accounted for 32 total touchdowns compared to eight interceptions. I fully expect his run to continue against a Steelers squad coming off an ugly loss to Washington.

NFL Week 14 Monday Night Football

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Ravens-Browns Week 14 point spread: Ravens -3.0 (over/under 46.5)

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Obviously, the Browns’ 9-3 record is nothing to scoff at. Baker Mayfield and Co. laid the hammer down against a good Titans squad back in Week 13, dropping 38 first-half points en route to a signature win. Is Cleveland ready to make another statement here against Baltimore? Given that Vegas odds have the Ravens at a mere one-point favorite, things seem to be trending in that direction.

NFL Week 14 Thursday Night Football

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams

Patriots-Rams Week 14 point spread: Rams -5.0 (over/under 44.5)

New England’s 45-0 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13 represented the team’s largest margin of victory in a regular-season game since Week 6 of the 2009 season. To put this into perspective, Vince Young and Kerry Collins were sharing time at quarterback for the Titans in that game. All said, the Pats are giving up an average of 17 points per game in their past two outings. I am not a fan of the Rams at minus-five here. Simply put, Jared Goff has struggled against top-notch defenses this season. That’s unlikely to change come Thursday night.