NFL Week 11 schedule and game-by-game predictions

By Vincent Frank

·Updated: June 22, 2021

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers take on the Colts in NFL Week 11

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Can you believe that it’s already NFL Week 11? The schedule has come and gone rather quickly. We’re now in crunch time with certain teams attempting to make their names known in the playoff race. Other squads are battling for division titles and seeding.

Week 11’s slate starts with a rivalry game in the NFC West between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks. It concludes on Monday night with Tom Brady and his Buccaneers looking to bounce back against another NFC Playoff contender in that of the Los Angeles Rams.

As we have done all year, here’s our NFL Week 11 schedule and game-by-game predictions.

Updated: Nov. 22, 9:45 AM EST

NFL Week 11 schedule: Sunday games

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Steelers-Jaguars Week 11 point spread: Steelers -10.5 (over/under 47.5)

Jacksonville is on pace to allow 50 sacks this season. The Steelers are on pace to register 64 sacks. The Jags are giving up north of 30 points per game during their eight-game losing streak.

I suck at math. It’s why I am a writer. Hence, trying to figure out how much Pittsburgh will win by here is a tough project. Heck, take the team at -10.5 and don’t think twice about it.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Steelers 35, Jaguars 16

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, Fox

Lions-Panthers Week 11 point spread: Pick ‘Em (over/under 47.0)

Injury updates: Teddy Bridgewater (knee), Matthew Stafford (ribs) questionable

Two teams battling for some sort of relevancy following the midway point in the season. Carolina has lost five consecutive since a 3-2 start to the season. Stud running back Christian McCaffrey is injured and sidelined for a second time this season. Simply put, Matt Rhule’s squad has hit a major rut in his first season as head coach.

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At 4-5 on the season, Detroit finds itself in a similar position. It had lost two consecutive games after winning two in a row earlier this year. Despite last week’s win over Washington, the Lions didn’t really look too great. They gave up a three-touchdown lead to Alex Smith and Co. before pulling it off at the end. At 4-5, the question now becomes whether Detroit can hit .500 before Thanksgiving weekend.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Lions 24, Panthers 21

New England Patriots at Houston Texans

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Patriots-Texans Week 11 point spread: Patriots -2.0 (over/under 48.5)

Two teams tied at the hip over the past few years. Whether it was recently-fired former Texans head coach Bill O’Brien or interim coach Romeo Crennel, the Texans have looked at the Patriots as the ideal organization. Despite some early-season struggles, the Patriots have picked it up recently. That included a shocking Week 10 win over the Baltimore Ravens.

As for the Texans, they are 2-3 since firing O’Brien. That included a 10-7 loss to the Cleveland Browns this past Sunday in a game that weather had more impact than either team on the field. Look for New England to continue where it left off last week, handing the Texans their eighth loss in 10 games this season.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Texans 24, Patriots 21

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, CBS

Titans-Ravens Week 11 point spread: Ravens -6.0 (over/under 50.0)

Losers of three out of their past four, the Titans need to pick it up big time. In fact, they are only a half game up on the likes of the Raiders and Dolphins as it relates to playoff seeding. That’s shocking given the team started this season 5-0. More than anything, it’s been a lackluster performance from Ryan Tannehill over the past couple games. He’s averaging a mere 152.5 passing yards during that span.

It’s not going to get easier against one of the top defenses in the NFL. Baltimore has yielded the least points in the NFL and is giving up an opposing 86.9 passer rating. Despite Lamar Jackson’s struggles (by his standards) and the Ravens’ ugly Week 10 loss, that should be enough for them to come out on top here.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Ravens 27, Titans 23

Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, Fox

Eagles-Browns Week 11 point spread: Browns -2.5 (over/under 45.5)

The Browns’ 6-3 start to the season is rather interesting to look at. In their three losses, they have scored a combined 19 points. Though, there’s a caveat here. Two of those losses came against the Steelers and Ravens, who boast the top defenses in the NFL. The other loss came against Las Vegas in horrible weather conditions prior to Cleveland’s Week 10 bye. Fresh off a 10-7 win over Houston, these Browns are looking to make another statement. But, they’ll have to do it without Myles Garrett (COVID-19).

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As for the Eagles, they seemed to have righted the ship following an ugly 1-4-1 start to the season. Of course, that changed following their Week 9 bye Sunday against the Giants. Philadelphia put up an absolutely laughable performance, losing by the score of 27-17. We’re not sure where Doug Pederson and Co. go from here. What we do know is that Philadelphia is highly unlikely to come out on top against a superior team in Week 11.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Browns 30, Eagles 24

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST

Falcons-Saints Week 11 point spread: Saints -3.5 (over/under 9.0)

Injury update: Drew Brees (ribs/lung) out, Taysom Hill starting

If the Saints’ defense continues to perform at the level we saw Week 9 against Tom Brady (three interceptions), this team is going to be incredibly hard to beat. Sure the 49ers were not much of a threat this past Sunday. However, there has to be some concern. That includes Drew Brees’ being out of this one after suffering a serious injury in Week 10, leading to Taysom Hill making his first start.

Atlanta is not going to be an easy out under interim head coach Raheem Morris. The team has won three of four since firing Dan Quinn. That’s primarily because the Matt Ryan to Julio Jones connection has taken off again. Jones has caught 28 passes for 425 yards during this four-game span. At the very least, this elite duo should keep the game close, but Jameis Winston pulls it out.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Saints 31, Falcons 28

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team

Time/station: 1:00 PM EST, Fox

Bengals-Washington Week 11 point spread: Washington -1.0 (over/under 47.0)

Let’s give credit where it’s due. Second-year Bengals head coach Zac Taylor has his team playing competitive football. Cincinnati headed into Week 10 coming off a surprising win over the Tennessee Titans. Unfortunately, they were unable to keep pace with the undefeated Steelers in a blowout loss this past Sunday. Given how good the Steelers are, there’s no shame in that.

On the other hand, Washington is also in the midst of a season that has seen the team more competitive than most imagined. At 2-7, Alex Smith and Co. are just one game behind Philadelphia in the win column in the NFC East. It really does have a chance to come out of the division. Unfortunately, an ugly Week 9 loss to the New York Giants and a narrow loss to Detroit this past Sunday hangs over Washington’s heads. That will likely be followed up by a narrow defeat at the hands of Cincinnati.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Washington 27, Bengals 23

New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers

Time/station: 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Jets-Chargers Week 11 point spread: Chargers -10.0 (over/under 46.5)

Anthony Lynn is clearly on the hot seat after a second consecutive loss on the final play of the game. At 2-7 on the season, Los Angeles’ seven losses have all come by one score. Despite the continued success of rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, that’s just not going to cut it.

Speaking of not cutting it, embattled Jets head coach Adam Gase has his team at 0-9. New York is averaging 13.4 points per game. It is also giving up nearly 30 points per outing. Talk about a lack of competitiveness. This will, once again, be the case in Week 11.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Chargers 31, Jets 13

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos

Time/station: 4:05 PM EST, CBS

Dolphins-Broncos Week 11 point spread: Dolphins -4.0 (over/under 46.0)

Injury update: Drew Lock (ribs) questionable

After winning three of its past five, Denver seemed to think it has an outside shot of earning a playoff spot in the AFC heading into Week 10. Second-year quarterback Drew Lock has responded by playing darn good football after a shoulder injury impacted his early-season performance. That all came crashing down during an ugly 37-12 loss to the Raiders this past Sunday. Lock regressed. The team’s defense struggled.

On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa has performed at a high clip en route to leading his surprising Dolphins to a perfect 3-0 record as their starter. After initial struggles in his opener, Tua has put up four touchdowns and zero interceptions in his past two starts. Things also seem to be clicking for these Dolphins, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Expect that to continue NFL Week 11.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Dolphins 24, Broncos 20

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings

Time/station: 4:25 PM EST, Fox

Cowboys-Vikings Week 11 point spread: Vikings -7.0 (over/under 49.5)

We have to give Dallas credit for being competitive against the undefeated Steelers back in Week 9. However, issues with turning the ball over and discipline on the field led to yet another loss for the 2-7 Cowboys. Coming off a Week 10 bye, the expectation is that Andy Dalton (concussion/COVID) will return under center.

It’s highly unlikely to matter against a Vikings squad that has turned the corner in a big way. Following a 1-5 start to the season, Minnesota has won three consecutive games. It’s no coincidence that embattled quarterback Kirk Cousins has played largely mistake-free football (five touchdowns, one interception) during this span. There’s no reason to believe this will change NFL Week 11 against a Cowboys defense that’s yielding 32.2 points per game and has given up 21 passing touchdowns compared to three interceptions.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Vikings 31, Cowboys 17

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Time/station: 4:25 PM EST, Fox

Packers-Colts Week 11 point spread: Colts -1.5 (over/under 51.5)

Potentially the best game of NFL Week 11, I am highly intrigued to see how Indianapolis performs following a blowout win over the Tennessee Titans in its last outing. Philip Rivers played the best football of his short tenure with the Colts. Their offensive line dominated the Titans. Meanwhile, Indy’s top-three scoring defense was all over Ryan Tannehill in the 34-17 win.

It won’t get any easier against Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers has his Packers at 7-2 on the season. The quarterback has entered the MVP conversation with 26 touchdowns compared to three interceptions. Despite this, there’s some major concern over the Packers’ defense. In fact, this unit has given up nearly 26 points per game. That should be the difference in NFL Week 11.

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NFL Week 11 predictions: Colts 24, Packers 21

Week 11 Sunday Night Football

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

Time/station: 8:20 PM EST, NBC

Chiefs-Raiders Week 11 point spread: Chiefs -7.5 (over/under 56.5)

Stunning. That has to be the best explanation for what we saw back in Week 5 with Las Vegas taking out Kansas City, 40-32, at Arrowhead Stadium. For the Raiders, this was yet another statement win after they took out the New Orleans Saints earlier in the year. Las Vegas then followed that up with a dominating 37-12 win over Denver in Week 10. The Raiders now sit at a surprising 6-3 heading into this important AFC West matchup.

Despite this, Patrick Mahomes is going to want to exact revenge in Sin City Sunday evening. It’s hard to bet against a quarterback who has combined for 27 total touchdowns compared to one interception and has led his team to a 17-1 record in its past 18 games. Sorry, Raiders fans.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Chiefs 37, Raiders 34

NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Time/station: 8:15 PM EST, ESPN

Rams-Buccaneers Week 11 point spread: Buccaneers -4.0 (over/under 48.5)

Contenders or pretenders? We’re going to have an answer to this question as it relates to both the Rams and Buccaneers following NFL Week 11. Tom Brady and the Bucs rebounded from 38-3 loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 9 to defeat a hapless Panthers squad this past weekend.

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As for the Rams, the same thing rings true. Prior to Los Angeles’ Week 9 bye, the team dropped an ugly outing to the Miami Dolphins. The Rams apparently used their bye to right the ship, defeating the Seattle Seahawks this past Sunday while forcing three Russell Wilson turnovers. The Rams’ elite-level defense should be the difference maker here.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Rams 24, Buccaneers 21

NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Time/station: 5:20 PM EST, NFL Network (Amazon)

Cardinals-Seahawks Week 11 point spread: Seahawks -3.0 (over/under 57.5)

Injury update: Seahawks RB Chris Carson (foot) unlikely to play

The balance of power in the NFC West will be on the line in this midweek matchup. Seattle and Arizona are in a three-way tie in the division with the Los Angeles Rams. They have also gone about it in different ways. For the Cardinals, that included a shocking late-game win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 10.

Seattle is a completely different story. The combination of Russell Wilson’s sudden turnover proneness and a pathetic defense have the Seahawks in a funk. They fell to the Rams, 23-16, on Sunday. For his part, Wilson has turned the ball over nine times in his past four games. Add in a lackluster offensive line, and it’s no surprise Seattle has lost three of four. Expect that trend to continue Week 11.

NFL Week 11 predictions: Cardinals 31, Seahawks 28