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MLB Home Run Derby 2023 guide: Odds, predictions, past winners, and more

The MLB Home Run Derby is a tradition like no other. Who doesn’t dig the long ball? MLB recognized this early on and began holding an annual home run competition the day before the All-Star Game each year since 1985. We’ve been enjoying the event ever since.

Now that we’ve finally reached the 2023 Home Run Derby, there’s a lot of intrigue surrounding the event and its participants. Feel free to use this space as your go-to Home Run Derby guide, providing answers to everything you may want to know.

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Who is participating in the Home Run Derby?

The Home Run Derby participants for the 2023 event features a star-studded lineup. Fans will be stoked to see all eight competitors in their field. Here are the matchups.

  • Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox
  • Pete Alonso, New York Mets
  • Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Adolis Garcia, Texas Rangers
  • Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays
  • Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners
  • Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles

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Odds to win 2023 Home Run Derby

All hitters participating in the Home Run Derby have shown they have the power to hit a ball out of the park in all 30 stadiums. But some hitters do better at certain parks, depending on the dimensions of the field and various other factors. So which hitters have the best betting odds to win the 2023 Home Run Derby? Here are the Home Run Derby favorites, per Vegas Insider.

Pete Alonso, New York Mets +300
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays +360
Luis Robert Jr., Chicago White Sox +500
Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners +600
Adolis Garcia, Texas Rangers +700
Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers +850
Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays +1000
Adley Rutchman, Baltimore Orioles +1400

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Home Run Derby predictions

As we see every day in the sports world, betting odds rarely translate to actual results. We all watch the games, and we see the hitters just the same, so who do we like to win the 2023 Home Run Derby?

It’s hard to go against Pete Alonso. He’s already taken home the trophy twice and has a chance to become just the second player in MLB history to have three Home Run Derby wins in his career.

But Alonso also has to battle Julio Rodriguez, who knows his home park very well. If Rodriguez comes out hot, Alonso’s chances to win take a hit.

Instead, we’re looking to other sluggers such as Guerrero, Robert, and Rodriguez to potentially steal the crown. Picking a winner, we’ll go with Guerrero, who also has prior experience in the Derby, nearly defeating Alonso as a rookie back in 2019.

Round-by-round matchups

  • (1) Luis Robert vs. (8) Adley Rutschman
  • (2) Pete Alonso vs. (7) Julio Rodriguez
  • (3) Mookie Betts vs. (6) Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
  • (4) Adolis Garcia vs. (5) Randy Arozarena

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When is the Home Run Derby?

The 2023 Home Run Derby is on Monday, July 10, at 8 PM ET.

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Where is the Home Run Derby?

MLB: Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners

The 2023 Home Run Derby is located in Seattle, Washington, at T-Mobile Park, home of the Mariners. It is the second time the Seattle area has hosted a Home Run Derby event. The first of which came in 2001, when the stadium was known as Safeco Field. Luis Gonzalez took home the trophy then.

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How can I watch the Home Run Derby?

Is the Home Run Derby televised? Yes. There are multiple ways to watch the 2023 Home Run Derby. Viewers looking to tune in can watch via the ESPN channel or on the ESPN app. Interested spectators can also utilize the Roku app to access the Derby this year too.

Will the Home Run Derby be on ESPN+? Yes, additional streaming options on ESPN+ will also be available this year.

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Past Home Run Derby participants and winners

1985 Dave Parker Cincinnati Reds Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome (MN)
1986 Wally Joyner California Angels (AL) Astrodome (HOU)
1986 Darryl Strawberry New York Mets (NL) Astrodome (HOU)
1987 Andre Dawson Chicago Cubs Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum (OAK)
1988 Canceled Canceled Canceled
1989 Eric Davis Cincinnati Reds (NL) Anaheim Stadium (LAA)
1989 Ruben Sierra Texas Rangers (AL) Anaheim Stadium (LAA)
1990 Ryne Sandberg Chicago Cubs Wrigley Field (CHC)
1991 Cal Ripken Jr. Baltimore Orioles SkyDome (TOR)
1992 Mark McGwire Oakland Athletics Jack Murphy Stadium (SD)
1993 Juan Gonzalez Texas Rangers Oriole Park at Camden Yards (BAL)
1994 Ken Griffey Jr. Seattle Mariners Three Rivers Stadium (PIT)
1995 Frank Thomas Chicago White Sox The Ballpark in Arlington (TEX)
1996 Barry Bonds San Francisco Giants Veterans Stadium (PHI)
1997 Tino Martinez New York Yankees Jacobs Field (CLE)
1998 Ken Griffey Jr. Seattle Mariners Coors Field (COL)
1999 Ken Griffey Jr. Seattle Mariners Fenway Park (BOS)
2000 Sammy Sosa Chicago Cubs Turner Field (ATL)
2001 Luis Gonzalez Arizona Diamondbacks Safeco Field (SEA)
2002 Jason Giambi New York Yankees Miller Park (MIL)
2003 Garret Anderson Anaheim Angels U.S. Cellular Field (CWS)
2004 Miguel Tejada Baltimore Orioles Minute Maid Park (HOU)
2005 Bobby Abreu Philadelphia Phillies Comerica Park (DET)
2006 Ryan Howard Philadelphia Phillies PNC Park (PIT)
2007 Vladimir Guerrero Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim AT&T Park (SF)
2008 Justin Morneau Minnesota Twins Yankee Stadium (NYY)
2009 Prince Fielder Milwaukee Brewers Busch Stadium (STL)
2010 David Ortiz Boston Red Sox Angel Stadium (LAA)
2011 Robinson Cano New York Yankees Chase Field (AZ)
2012 Prince Fielder Detroit Tigers Kauffman Stadium (KC)
2013 Yoenis Cespedes Oakland Athletics Citi Field (NYM)
2014 Yoenis Cespedes Oakland Athletics Target Field (MN)
2015 Todd Frazier Cincinnati Reds Great American Ball Park (CIN)
2016 Giancarlo Stanton Miami Marlins Petco Park (SD)
2017 Aaron Judge New York Yankees Marlins Park (MIA)
2018 Bryce Harper Washington Nationals Nationals Park (WAS)
2019 Pete Alonso New York Mets Progressive Field (CLE)
2020 Canceled Canceled Canceled
2021 Pete Alonso New York Mets Coors Field (COL)
2022 Juan Soto Washington Nationals Dodger Stadium (LAD)
2023 Vladimir Guerrero Jr Toronto Blue Jays T-Mobile Park (SEA)

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Who has hit the most home runs in the Home Run Derby?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. holds the MLB’s all-time record for most home runs hit in a single Home Run Derby event with 91. He accomplished this feat in 2019. Julio Rodriguez comes in second with 81 last season, and now he gets to be at his home park.

Pete Alonso holds the all-time record for most total home runs hit across his Home Run Derby career. Appearing in three events, Alonso has hit 174 long balls.

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Who has hit the most home runs in a single round of the Home Run Derby?

Prior to Monday night, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. had hit the most home runs in a single round of the Home Run Derby. Back in 2019, Vlad hit 40 round trips in the second round of play. Seattle Mariners star Julio Rodriguz broke that record Monday with 41 in the first round.

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