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MLB Home Run Derby 2023 guide: Odds, predictions, past winners, and more

The MLB Home Run Derby is a tradition like no other. Who doesn’t dig the long ball? MLB recognized this early on and began holding an annual home run competition the day before the All-Star Game each year since 1985. We’ve been enjoying the event ever since.

Now that we’ve finally reached the 2023 Home Run Derby, there’s a lot of intrigue surrounding the event and its participants. Feel free to use this space as your go-to Home Run Derby guide, providing answers to everything you may want to know.

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Who is participating in the Home Run Derby?

The Home Run Derby participants for the 2023 event features a star-studded lineup. Fans will be stoked to see all eight competitors in their field. Here are the matchups.

  • Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox
  • Pete Alonso, New York Mets
  • Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Adolis Garcia, Texas Rangers
  • Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays
  • Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners
  • Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles

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Odds to win 2023 Home Run Derby

All hitters participating in the Home Run Derby have shown they have the power to hit a ball out of the park in all 30 stadiums. But some hitters do better at certain parks, depending on the dimensions of the field and various other factors. So which hitters have the best betting odds to win the 2023 Home Run Derby? Here are the Home Run Derby favorites, per Vegas Insider.

Pete Alonso, New York Mets+300
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays+360
Luis Robert Jr., Chicago White Sox+500
Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners+600
Adolis Garcia, Texas Rangers+700
Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers+850
Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays+1000
Adley Rutchman, Baltimore Orioles+1400

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Home Run Derby predictions

As we see every day in the sports world, betting odds rarely translate to actual results. We all watch the games, and we see the hitters just the same, so who do we like to win the 2023 Home Run Derby?

It’s hard to go against Pete Alonso. He’s already taken home the trophy twice and has a chance to become just the second player in MLB history to have three Home Run Derby wins in his career.

But Alonso also has to battle Julio Rodriguez, who knows his home park very well. If Rodriguez comes out hot, Alonso’s chances to win take a hit.

Instead, we’re looking to other sluggers such as Guerrero, Robert, and Rodriguez to potentially steal the crown. Picking a winner, we’ll go with Guerrero, who also has prior experience in the Derby, nearly defeating Alonso as a rookie back in 2019.

Round-by-round matchups

  • (1) Luis Robert vs. (8) Adley Rutschman
  • (2) Pete Alonso vs. (7) Julio Rodriguez
  • (3) Mookie Betts vs. (6) Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
  • (4) Adolis Garcia vs. (5) Randy Arozarena

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When is the Home Run Derby?

The 2023 Home Run Derby is on Monday, July 10, at 8 PM ET.

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Where is the Home Run Derby?

MLB: Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The 2023 Home Run Derby is located in Seattle, Washington, at T-Mobile Park, home of the Mariners. It is the second time the Seattle area has hosted a Home Run Derby event. The first of which came in 2001, when the stadium was known as Safeco Field. Luis Gonzalez took home the trophy then.

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How can I watch the Home Run Derby?

Is the Home Run Derby televised? Yes. There are multiple ways to watch the 2023 Home Run Derby. Viewers looking to tune in can watch via the ESPN channel or on the ESPN app. Interested spectators can also utilize the Roku app to access the Derby this year too.

Will the Home Run Derby be on ESPN+? Yes, additional streaming options on ESPN+ will also be available this year.

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Past Home Run Derby participants and winners

1985Dave ParkerCincinnati RedsHubert H. Humphrey Metrodome (MN)
1986Wally JoynerCalifornia Angels (AL)Astrodome (HOU)
1986Darryl StrawberryNew York Mets (NL)Astrodome (HOU)
1987Andre DawsonChicago CubsOakland-Alameda County Coliseum (OAK)
1988CanceledCanceledCanceled
1989Eric DavisCincinnati Reds (NL)Anaheim Stadium (LAA)
1989Ruben SierraTexas Rangers (AL)Anaheim Stadium (LAA)
1990Ryne SandbergChicago CubsWrigley Field (CHC)
1991Cal Ripken Jr.Baltimore OriolesSkyDome (TOR)
1992Mark McGwireOakland AthleticsJack Murphy Stadium (SD)
1993Juan GonzalezTexas RangersOriole Park at Camden Yards (BAL)
1994Ken Griffey Jr.Seattle MarinersThree Rivers Stadium (PIT)
1995Frank ThomasChicago White SoxThe Ballpark in Arlington (TEX)
1996Barry BondsSan Francisco GiantsVeterans Stadium (PHI)
1997Tino MartinezNew York YankeesJacobs Field (CLE)
1998Ken Griffey Jr.Seattle MarinersCoors Field (COL)
1999Ken Griffey Jr.Seattle MarinersFenway Park (BOS)
2000Sammy SosaChicago CubsTurner Field (ATL)
2001Luis GonzalezArizona DiamondbacksSafeco Field (SEA)
2002Jason GiambiNew York YankeesMiller Park (MIL)
2003Garret AndersonAnaheim AngelsU.S. Cellular Field (CWS)
2004Miguel TejadaBaltimore OriolesMinute Maid Park (HOU)
2005Bobby AbreuPhiladelphia PhilliesComerica Park (DET)
2006Ryan HowardPhiladelphia PhilliesPNC Park (PIT)
2007Vladimir GuerreroLos Angeles Angels of AnaheimAT&T Park (SF)
2008Justin MorneauMinnesota TwinsYankee Stadium (NYY)
2009Prince FielderMilwaukee BrewersBusch Stadium (STL)
2010David OrtizBoston Red SoxAngel Stadium (LAA)
2011Robinson CanoNew York YankeesChase Field (AZ)
2012Prince FielderDetroit TigersKauffman Stadium (KC)
2013Yoenis CespedesOakland AthleticsCiti Field (NYM)
2014Yoenis CespedesOakland AthleticsTarget Field (MN)
2015Todd FrazierCincinnati RedsGreat American Ball Park (CIN)
2016Giancarlo StantonMiami MarlinsPetco Park (SD)
2017Aaron JudgeNew York YankeesMarlins Park (MIA)
2018Bryce HarperWashington NationalsNationals Park (WAS)
2019Pete AlonsoNew York MetsProgressive Field (CLE)
2020CanceledCanceledCanceled
2021Pete AlonsoNew York MetsCoors Field (COL)
2022Juan SotoWashington NationalsDodger Stadium (LAD)
2023Vladimir Guerrero JrToronto Blue JaysT-Mobile Park (SEA)

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Who has hit the most home runs in the Home Run Derby?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. holds the MLB’s all-time record for most home runs hit in a single Home Run Derby event with 91. He accomplished this feat in 2019. Julio Rodriguez comes in second with 81 last season, and now he gets to be at his home park.

Pete Alonso holds the all-time record for most total home runs hit across his Home Run Derby career. Appearing in three events, Alonso has hit 174 long balls.

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Who has hit the most home runs in a single round of the Home Run Derby?

Prior to Monday night, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. had hit the most home runs in a single round of the Home Run Derby. Back in 2019, Vlad hit 40 round trips in the second round of play. Seattle Mariners star Julio Rodriguz broke that record Monday with 41 in the first round.

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