The Atlanta Falcons exercised patience with head coach Arthur Smith, recognizing that a team with massive salary-cap problems and a bad roster couldn’t win immediately. Midway through the 2023 season, it’s now time to start assessing Falcons coaching candidates.
Smith went a respectable 7-10 in each of his first two seasons, with Atlanta easily outperforming expectations. The Falcons’ ownership knew Smith would be at a disadvantage because they didn’t have the cap space to build a quality roster. However, that’s no longer the case in 2023.
- Arthur Smith coaching record: 18-26
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The Falcons have invested top-10 picks in generational talents at tight end (Kyle Pitts) and running back, also using the 8th overall selection on wide receiver Drake London. To make the roster more well-rounded, Atlanta committed nearly $90 million in cap space to rebuild its defense. Yet, the results have only gotten worse.
Let’s dive into our favorite Atlanta Falcons coaching candidates to replace Arthur Smith.
Ben Johnson, Detroit Lions offensive coordinator
Any list of Falcons coaching candidates must start with Ben Johnson. The Detroit Lions offensive coordinator turned down an opportunity with the Carolina Panthers in 2023. Come 2024, the most sought-after NFL coaching candidate will be ready to take over his own franchise.
Here’s what you need to know about Johnson’s track record as a playcaller. In 2022, Detroit ranked fifth in scoring (26.6 PPG), recording the fourth-highest yards per play average (5.9) with the fourth-best red-zone touchdown rate (66.2%). This year, the Lions’ offense has been just as good despite injuries to the offensive line, at running back and wide receiver.
Most importantly, Johnson will be aligned with how the front office is building this roster. Johnson believes in running the football – the 8th-highest rushing rate (44.6%) in NFL – and he’ll actually put Bijan Robinson in a position to thrive. The same goes for Kyle Pitts and Drake London, with Johnson’s usage of Sam LaPort and Amon-Ra St. Brown painting a picture of what he can do for the Falcons’ offense.
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Bobby Slowik, Houston Texans offensive coordinator
There’s a possibility that Johnson goes to the highest bidder or chooses the NFL team that allows him to coach Drake Maye or Caleb Williams. If he isn’t available for Atlanta, Bobby Slowik becomes one of our favorite Falcons coaching candidates.
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We’ll start off with the biggest knock on Slowik, his inexperience. He’s in his first season as an offensive coordinator, meaning our confidence in him is based on a one-season sample size. Plus, being a great play-caller doesn’t mean that person will be a good head coach. Yet, there are undeniable reasons to like Slowik.
|Texans’ offense||PPG||Total YPG||Yards per Play||3rd Down Conversion|
|2022||17.0 (30th)||283.5 (31st)||4.7 (32nd)||30.32% (31st)|
|2023||24.1 (10th)||372.6 (6th)||5.7 (7th)||41.13% (13th)|
While C.J. Stroud deserves a lot of credit for the Texans’ success, let’s not forget how low expectations were for him in Houston’s system coming into the year. The Texans’ offensive line has dealt with a myriad of injuries and the receiving corps wasn’t well-regarded. Slowik’s quarterback-friendly system has suddenly made this one of the most unstoppable offenses in the NFL.
Plus, connections matter. Slowik worked as an offensive assistant and then passing game coordinator for the San Francisco 49ers. Not only did he learn from Shanahan in San Francisco (2017-’22), but he was also on Washington’s staff with Shanahan from 2011-’13. A Shanahan guy is exactly what the Falcons’ offense needs.
Mike Macdonald, Baltimore Ravens defensive coordinator
While an offensive-minded coach seems like the ideal hire considering the draft capital invested on that side of the ball, there are other options. If the Atlanta Falcons want a defensive mastermind, look no further than Mike Macdonald.
- Baltimore Ravens defense stats (2023): 39 sacks (most in NFL), 4.2 yards per play average allowed (1st in NFL), 70.0 average QB rating allowed (1st), 2.6 red-zone scoring trips per game allowed (5th in NFL)
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The statistics alone are impressive, but that’s not what makes Macdonald an exciting fit for Atlanta. Coming into the season, Roquan Smith, Kyle Hamilton and Marlon Humphrey were the only well-known starters on the Ravens’ defense. Macdonald had to get the most out of guys like Odafe Oweh, Justin Madubuike, Jadeveon Clowney, Brandon Stephens and Geno Stone.
Each of those players is having a career-best season or something very close to it. Stone leads the NFL in interceptions, Stephens is graded by PFF as one of the best No. 2 cornerbacks in the NFL, Oweh has 21 pressures this year, Madubuike is playing like a Pro Bowl selection and Clowney’s having his best year since 2019. Macdonald’s coaching and scheme maximize his players’ skills and that could go a long way in Atlanta.
Jerod Mayo, New England Patriots assistant coach
We prioritized Falcons coaching candidates who specialized on one side of the ball. However, coaches like Dan Campbell, Mike Tomlin, Mike Vrabel, John Harbaugh and Pete Carroll are examples of how impactful a good leader can be for a team.
That defines Jerod Mayo perfectly. Before the Philadelphia Eagles hired Nick Sirianni, they met with the New England Patriots’ linebackers coach. In short, they were wildly impressed. Mayo ‘blew them out of the water‘ with his leadership, mind and overall presence during the lengthy interview. NFL teams who have spoken with Mayo since have offered nothing but praise for his work ethic, ability to connect with anyone in a room and level of preparation.
Patriots owner Robert Kraft and the front office have been training Mayo to become an NFL head coach since the offseason, bringing him into meetings with team executives and introducing him to all of the duties that come with being an NFL head coach. If the Falcons want leadership at the helm with a coach who knows how to mentor players and lead an entire locker room, Mayo is the guy.