Patrick Mahomes has earned almost every accolade given to him. The field magician has showcased his abilities through three Super Bowl wins and two Most Valuable Player awards. His mighty arm, which turns difficult passes into spectacular plays, has led the Chiefs to seven consecutive AFC Championship games starting from 2018. He has proven over and over again that he can perform under the greatest of pressure.
Despite all those accolades and the media orgy that constantly surrounds him, we need to pump the brakes on declaring him one of the best QBs of all time. The premature comparison to the true GOAT Tom Brady, and the likes of Joe Montana, is losing steam thanks to Mahomes’ 2024 season and a very clear and pronounced fall off since the end of 2023. The upcoming 2025 season will deliver an unpleasant shock to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs , as their decline will make itself all too clear. The Chiefs and Mahomes are entering into an ear of decline.
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Patrick Mahomes’ Numbers are Falling Off
Patrick Mahomes’ statistical numbers show clear signs of deterioration. In 2024, Mahomes logged just 3,928 passing yards, his lowest as a full-time starter. Last season, he threw for 26 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, and a 93.5 passer rating. Early in his career, he topped 4,000 yards and 40 TDs multiple times, but last year’s dip signals regression, with defenses neutralizing his deep threats.
During his early playing years, Mahomes exceeded 4,000 yards and 40 touchdown passes twice, but his statistics from 2024 show a significant decline. Defenses have successfully learned to defend against his deep passes, as indicated by his yards per attempt reaching his career minimum of 6.8 last season.
Since Tyreek Hill departed the team in 2022, Patrick Mahomes has turned into a short-pass specialist but lost the explosive plays that used to make him nearly invincible. Some critics argue that his gimmick plays artificially inflates public perception , but actual statistics demonstrate his ordinary performance when supporting players fail him.
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It’s Not Just Mahomes: Chiefs Are Falling Off In Key Areas
It’s not only Mahomes who is experiencing a significant drop-off in performance. Key skill positions are struggling to meet previous expectations. Despite their 15-2 regular season record in 2024, the Chiefs suffered a 40-22 defeat in Super Bowl LIX against the Eagles , while Mahomes showed signs of confusion throughout the game as he suffered six sacks, threw two interceptions, and failed to maintain any consistency.
The offensive line, featuring rookie Josh Simmons, and aging veteran Travis Kelce (36) failed to protect Mahomes during games. At wide receiver, speedy 2024 rookie Xavier Worthy demonstrated speed, but his deep route connection with Mahomes never developed, which left the quarterback without a game-changing receiver. Defenders now blitz more aggressively, which leads to turnovers, as seen when Mahomes threw eight interceptions during the first seven weeks of last season.
The O-line instability, combined with receiver failure, will force Andy Reid to implement creative ways to scheme around them, yet he cannot entirely hide these weaknesses. Many are forecasting another disappointing year for Mahomes and some analysts wonder if he will fall out of the top spot with a hungry Allen and Jackson duo out to prove they can win it all in the AFC.
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2025 Could be a Long Season for Kansas City
The 2025 season will present Mahomes with the most challenging schedule since his NFL debut, featuring a difficult run against a who’s-who of NFL playoff teams. In addition, their own AFC West is improving and catching up after years of Chiefs dominance.
With the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Washington Commanders, and Philadelphia Eagles on their schedule, coupled with a much-improved slate of the Los Angeles Chargers, Denver Broncos, and Las Vegas Raiders in their division, they will have to fight for a playoff bid harder than ever before.
While the Las Vegas oddsmakers have the Chiefs at 11.5 wins over/under, many are picking the Chargers to finally end their streak of AFC West titles.
Can Patrick Mahomes Prove Everyone Wrong?
Make no mistake: Patrick Mahomes is still a top-tier QB, with three rings and a reel of highlights that scream greatness. But strip away the media-driven narrative and the Chiefs’ dynasty is showing fractures. 2025 might be the year it shatters – the signs we see on the stat sheet and the film scream struggle. If Patrick Mahomes can silence the doubters and lead the Chiefs to yet another winning season with a deep playoff run, it’ll add to his illustrious legacy. For now, though, storm clouds loom over Arrowhead for the first time in his tenure.
