Jason Burgos
On Saturday, close to 150,000 people will pack into Churchill Downs Racecourse to see which competitor will win the first leg of the 2026 Triple Crown, the Kentucky Derby. This year’s field includes a deep list of favorites, dark horses, and underdogs. But who is the best of the best heading into the May 2 event? We look to answer that with our casual fans’ ranking of the 2026 Kentucky Derby horses.
21. Great White
John Ennis-trained colt Great White has been all over the map over his first four races. The three-year-old scored a win in his December debut and in February at the John Battaglia Memorial. However, White has fifth-place finishes in his other two races, including in April at the Blue Grass. That unpredictability is a key reason why he is one of the biggest underdogs on Saturday.
20. Intrepido
Early in his career, Jeff Mullins-trained colt Intrepido showed a lot of potential after winning two of his first three races, including the American Pharoah last year. However, since then, the horse has struggled. Finishing fifth in the following race, and fourth a few weeks ago at Santa Anita. It is why he is a big underdog this Saturday.
19. Six Speed
Bhupat Seemar-trained colt Six Speed is one of the foreign-bred contenders in this Saturday’s Kentucky Derby. The horse is also one of the more inexperienced competitors, with just three contests in his career.
However, Speed has looked good thus far by winning two of those three races. Yet, he remains a long shot at the derby because of the weaker level of competition he has faced in the UAE so far.
18. Golden Tempo
Cherie DeVaux-trained horse Golden Tempo got off to a solid start by scoring victories in the first two races of his career. However, when his team raised the competition by placing him in G2 races this year, the three-year-old has struggled. Finishing third in two races in Louisiana. That is why Tempo is seen as a long shot on Saturday.
17. Litmus Test
Bob Baffert’s colt Litmus Test is one of the most experienced competitors in this weekend’s race. However, that is rarely a good thing. In six races, he has just two wins, and he has long-shot odds heading into Saturday after a very disappointing seventh-place finish in March at the Arkansas Derby.
16. Right to Party
Not much is expected from the Kenneth McPeek-trained colt Right to Party this weekend. That doesn’t mean Party isn’t a competitive horse because he has never finished lower than third in his four races. However, finishing behind Albus — who is a sizable underdog on Saturday — a few weeks ago at the Wood Memorial does bode well for Party’s chances at the Kentucky Derby.
15. Albus
Riley Mott-trained horse Albus got off to a slow start when he made his debut last year. Finishing fourth and third in his first two contests. However, 2026 has been far better for the three-year-old as he has won two straight, including at the Wood Memorial in April. Albus is an intriguing Show option on Saturday.
14. Pavlovian
Doug O’Neill-trained colt Pavlovian is one of the most experienced horses in this year’s race after competing in 10 contests since his debut in May 2025. However, he is one of the biggest underdogs in the event because he has just two wins to his name.
Nevertheless, despite his average performance throughout his career, Pavlovian did finish second at the Louisiana Derby to fellow Kentucky competitor Emerging Market. So he does have an outside chance at winning a Show bet.
13. Wonder Dean
Japanese colt Wonder Dean is another of the international competitors in the 2026 event. The Yoshinari Yamamoto-trained Colt has only taken to the track twice after debuting at the Saudi Derby in February. However, a UAE Derby win over fellow Kentucky competitor Six Speed shows he is the top foreign horse this weekend.
12. Silent Tactic
While Silent Static is a massive long shot to win Saturday’s race, the three-year-old could be a Place option for risky bettors because of a rock-solid resume. The Mark Casse-trained horse has six races on its resume. While he only has two wins, he has never finished lower than 2nd, including in March at the Arkansas Derby to top Kentucky contender Renegade.
11. Incredibolt
Riley Mott-trained colt Incredibolt has had an up-and-down career. It’s why he is at the back end of the betting odds heading into the event after finishing sixth in a G3 face in January. However, Incredibolt turned heads in March when he won the Virginia Derby, making some wonder if he could perform better than expected on Kentucky’s fast dirt track this weekend.
10. Potente
Potente, a three-year-old trained by racing legend Bob Baffert, is an intriguing betting option heading into the Kentucky Derby. The colt has taken to the track just three times after making his debut in January. However, he has two wins and a second-place finish in early April at the Santa Anita to notable Kentucky contender So Happy. Potente is a strong choice for Place and Show bets.
9. Fulleffort
Brad Cox-trained colt Fulleffort is one of three competitors the elite trainer has in the 2026 Kentucky Derby. While Fulleffort has the lowest odds of the trio, he is running well heading into Saturday’s event. Winning three of his last five, including at the Jeff Ruby Steaks in March. For bettors looking for a potential dark horse, Fulleffort is a solid option.
8. Chief Wallabee
William Mott-trained colt Chief Wallabee will take to the track for just the fourth time on Saturday at the Kentucky Derby. While the three-year-old has decent odds, it would be a big surprise if he won the race.
In his last two contests, he has lost twice to fellow Kentucky competitor Commandment, including a third-place finish in Florida to both Commandment and The Puma.
7. Emerging Market
Chad Brown-trained colt Emerging Market is an under-the-radar sleeper at the 2026 Kentucky Derby. Yes, he only has two races on his resume after making his debut in February. However, after those races, he has two wins on his record. Including a big victory at the Louisiana Derby, where he outdueled fellow Kentucky Derby competitors Pavlovian and Golden Tempo.
6. Danon Bourbon
Although Danon Bourbon is Kentucky-bred, the Manabu Ikezoe-trained colt went to Chiba, Japan, in March for his debut and scored a first-place finish. Despite being the least experienced of all the horses in this year’s race, Bourbon has solid odds. Showing that the three-year-old has talent to be a big problem on Saturday.
5. So Happy
Mark Glatt-trained colt So Happy enters this year’s Kentucky Derby as a top contender after an impressive start to his career. After debuting in January 2025, the three-year-old has won three of his four races. Although he stumbled with a third-place finish at San Felipe in March, So Happy bounced back with a big victory at Santa Anita in April. A race that included fellow Kentucky competitors Potente and Intrepido.
4. Further Ado
Further Ado had a bumpy start to his career when he came out of the gates with third and fifth-place finishes in his first two races. However, since then, the Brad Cox-trained colt has caught fire. Winning three of his last four, with his lone defeat being a second-place finish to one of the favorites at the Kentucky Derby, The Puma. Further Ado will get a lot of wagers placed on him this weekend.
3. The Puma
The Puma — trained by Gustavo Delgado — is a favorite heading into the 2026 Kentucky Derby because of the strong competition he has faced throughout his four-race career. While he has just one victory (never lower than a third-place finish), he has previously faced off with Kentucky competitors Chief Wallabee, Renegade, Further Ado, and Commandement.
It gives Delgado key intel to further prepare his talented horse for Saturday’s race.
2. Commandment
Commandment is one of two Brad Cox-trained horses that are a real threat to win the Kentucky Derby. After a surprising fourth-place finish in his October debut, the team retooled, and Commandment is red-hot ahead of this year’s race.
The colt has won four straight, including a big victory over The Puma and Chief Wallabee at the Florida Derby in March. Commandement will be a popular pick among bettors this weekend.
1. Renegade
Todd Pletcher-trained colt Renegade enters the 2026 Kentucky Derby as one of the favorites because of a strong five-race career and a recent hot streak. While he finished third in his August 2025 debut, he has consistently improved with each race since.
Renegade has won two straight, including a strong showing in March when he took home first-place at the Arkansas Derby. However, his February victory at the Sam Davis may have been his best yet because it included another Kentucky contender, The Puma.
2026 Kentucky Derby odds and predictions
Here are the current betting odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby. This year’s race takes place at 6:57 PM ET on May 2.
- Renegade (4-1)
- Further Ado (6-1)
- Commandment (6-1)
- Chief Wallabee (8-1)
- The Puma (10-1)
- So Happy (15-1)
- Emerging Market (15-1)
- Danon Bourbon (20-1)
- Fulleffort (20-1)
- Potente (20-1)
- Incredibolt (20-1)
- Silent Tactic (20-1)
- Wonder Dean (30-1)
- Right to Party (30-1)
- Litmus Test (30-1)
- Golden Tempo (30-1)
- Albus (30-1)
- Pavlovian (30-1)
- Intrepido (50-1)
- Six Speed (50-1)
- Great White (50-1)
2026 Kentucky Derby prediction
Our pick to win the 2026 Kentucky Derby is Commandment. The colt is racing very well heading into Saturday’s contest, and has performed well previously against some of this year’s top competitors.
