Miami Dolphins schedule this week
Week 2 – vs. Buffalo Bills
|Sunday, Sep. 19||1:00 PM||FOX|
- Spread: Bills -3.0
- Moneyline: Dolphins +145; Bills -175
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Sportsnaut prediction: Bills 28, Dolphins 24
While neither of these teams made huge additions in the offseason, we can’t get Week 17 out of our mind. Buffalo cooked the Dolphins without even really trying. We certainly expect this matchup to be a lot closer, but Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs are just too good.
Miami Dolphins schedule predictions, roster outlook
- Dolphins next game: Miami will open its season on Sept. 12 in a Week 1 matchup against the New England Patriots
- Miami has the eighth-easiest strength of schedule, per The Athletic.
- Dolphins play two primetime games, with the possibility of flex scheduling increasing that number.
- Sportsnaut’s Miami Dolphins record projection: 11-6
Dolphins roster outlook
All our predictions are based on the Dolphins keeping and starting these key players:
- QB – Tua Tagovailoa, Jacoby Brissett
- RB – Myles Gaskin, Malcolm Brown
- WR – Will Fuller, DeVante Parker, Preston Willians, Jaylen Waddle
- TE – Mike Gesicki, Hunter Long
- Defense – No. 8 in 2021 NFL defense rankings
Miami Dolphins schedule predictions
Week 1 — Miami Dolphins won on the road against the New England Patriots, 17-16
- When: Sunday, September 12 at 4:05 PM on CBS
- Spread: Patriots -3.5 (via DraftKings)
- Moneyline: Patriots -195, Dolphins +165
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Week 1 prediction: Patriots 20, Dolphins 17
It wasn’t the pretties game for Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins’ offense. The second-year quarterback completed just 16-of-27 passes for 202 yards with a touchdown and an interception. However, the team’s defense stepped up when it counted the most in a narrow 17-16 win over the division-rival Dolphins. That included a forced fumble late in the game to put it on ice.
Week 3 – @ Las Vegas Raiders
|Sunday, Sep. 26||4:05 PM||CBS|
Trying to understand the Raiders’ strategy this offseason is a fruitless exercise. Las Vegas’ offensive line is about to take a huge step back and it’s not like the receivers around Derek Carr are good enough to make up for that. Miami shouldn’t have much trouble containing Jon Gruden’s attack, resulting in a convincing victory for the Dolphins.
- Week 3 prediction: Dolphins 28, Raiders 14
Week 4 – vs. Indianapolis Colts
|Sunday, Oct. 3||1:00 PM||CBS|
The Indianapolis Colts will have Carson Wentz and Quenton Nelson, great news for them. But playing without T.Y. Hilton puts this offense, one that is weak at left tackle, at a significant disadvantage against one of the best defensive units in football.
- Week 4 schedule prediction: Dolphins 21, Colts 14
Week 5 – @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|Sunday, Oct. 10||1:00 PM||CBS|
There are very few teams that can match up with the Buccaneers, Miami is almost there. If Tagovailoa blossoms in his second year and rookie Jaelan Phillips makes an instant impact, we could see an upset. But it takes time for young players to grow, so don’t expect any miracles in Tampa Bay.
- Week 5 schedule prediction: Buccaners 31, Dolphins 23
Week 6 – vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
|Sunday, Oct. 17||9:30 AM||CBS|
Adjusting to the NFL is going to be a long process for Trevor Lawrence. He’s got all the tools to be an NFL star, but he benefitted from a Clemson offense that got his receivers open on screens and quick passes. Passing won’t be that easy against the Dolphins’ secondary, leading to a few mistakes that decide the game.
- Week 6 schedule prediction: Dolphins 27, Jaguars 17
Week 7 – vs. Atlanta Falcons
|Sunday, Oct. 24||1:00 PM||CBS|
Xavien Howard can shadow Calvin Ridley, Flores shifts his defensive coverage toward Kyle Pitts and that’s all the Atlanta Falcons have offensively. On the other side of the ball, Atlanta doesn’t have anyone to rush the passer nor to match Waddle and Fuller’s deep speed. That’s the blueprint for a decisive victory.
- Week 7 schedule prediction: Dolphins 28, Falcons 17
Week 8 – @ Buffalo Bills
|Sunday, Oct. 31||1:00 PM||CBS|
Another early-season clash against the Bills, arguably the second-best team in the AFC. We’d feel a bit more optimistic about this game for the Dolphins if it was played in December when there would be frigid temperatures, snow and wind in Buffalo. With all of those things likely off the table, factored in with comparing these two offenses, the Bills are victorious once again.
- Week 8 schedule prediction: Bills 31, Dolphins 27
Week 9 – vs. Houston Texans
|Sunday, Nov. 7||1:00 PM||FOX|
The Dolphins owe Bill O’Brien steak dinners for life. The Laremy Tunsil trade heist changed this franchise, putting them in a position to build one of the deepest and young rosters in the NFL. Both teams have headed in vastly different directions since that deal, with Miami becoming the rising NFL power.
- Week 9 schedule prediction: Dolphins 31, Texans 7
Week 10 – vs. Baltimore Ravens
|Thursday, Nov. 11||8:20 PM||FOX, NFLN|
Here’s another matchup where the Dolphins could run into some trouble. The strength of Baltimore’s defense is its secondary, making this matchup a daunting test for Tagovailoa. Plus, Ravens’ defensive play-caller Don Martindale will be throwing all kinds of blitzes to disrupt the flow of Miami’s offense. This should be a defensive battle, but the Ravens are slightly better on both sides and that decides it.
- Week 10 schedule prediction: Ravens 24, Dolphins 20
Week 11 – @ New York Jets
|Sunday, Nov. 21||1:00 PM||CBS|
Finally, the Dolphins’ schedule starts to lighten up. While the Jets look like a formidable divisional opponent in the future, this team isn’t ready to win in 2021. Zach Wilson will go through his rookie bumps, just like Tagovailoa did. This game could be the start of a winning streak that pushes Miami to the NFL Playoffs.
- Week 11 schedule prediction: Dolphins 24, Jets 17
Week 12 – vs. Carolina Panthers
|Sunday, Nov. 28||1:00 PM||FOX|
Sam Darnold is 1-4 in his career against the Miami Dolphins, with a 59.9% completion rate, 10 interceptions and 14 sacks. Yes, he is in a better situation now than before. But there haven’t been any signs that Darnold can be a good quarterback. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have his number.
- Week 12 schedule prediction: Dolphins 28, Panthers 16
Week 13 – vs. New York Giants
|Sunday, Dec. 5||1:00 PM||FOX|
If Tagovailoa and Daniel Jones swapped teams, the projections for both of these clubs would flip. New York boasts a top-10 defense and its skill players around Jones are superior to what Miami boasts. But a turnover-prone quarterback against a defense that is better than anyone at generating takeaways, the outcome is predictable.
- Week 13 schedule prediction: Dolphins 16, Giants 10
Week 14 – BYE
Week 15 – vs. New York Jets
|Sunday, Dec. 19||TBD||TBD|
After getting swept in the two-game series by the Buffalo Bills, Miami will welcome an opportunity to do the same to New York. With the Dolphins playing at home and this offense likely more explosive and efficient than it was in the prior meeting, the results are an even bigger margin of victory.
- Week 15 schedule prediction: Dolphins 30, Jets 17
Week 16 – @ New Orleans Saints
|Monday, Dec. 27||8:15 PM||ESPN|
Jameis Winston is the superior quarterback and he will provide more trouble for Miami’s defense than Taysom Hill. With that said, 20/20 division and better decision-making aren’t enough to bridge the gap between Miami’s secondary and the Saints’ thin receiving corps.
- Week 16 schedule prediction: Dolphins 24, Saints 20
Week 17 – @ Tennessee Titans
|Sunday, Jan. 2||1:00 PM||CBS|
Can the Dolphins contain Derrick Henry? Opponents averaged 4.5 yards per carry against Miami’s defensive front in 2020 and there are concerns about how this unit will fare this fall. Tennessee’s secondary has also improved, which will make things a little more difficult. This game could go either way, but we’ll give the edge to the home team.
- Week 17 schedule prediction: Titans 17, Dolphins 13
Week 18 – vs. New England Patriots
|Sunday, Jan. 9||1:00 PM||CBS|
With a playoff spot on the line, this can be an opportunity for Tagovailoa to prove himself. It’s not going to be easy against the Patriots’ defense, but the Dolphins have the personnel to pull it off. It might take some late-game heroics, but Miami can clinch its spot in the Wild Card round and sent Bill Belichick home.
- Week 18 schedule prediction: Dolphins 20, Patriots 14