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Houston Texans schedule and 2021 season predictions

The 2021 NFL schedule release is a joyous occasion for most fan bases. Not for the Houston Texans. Find out how many wins we're predicting for them this year.

Houston Texans schedule and 2021 season predictions
Dec 21, 2019; Tampa, Florida, USA; Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) walks in the tunnel prior to the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Houston Texans at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans schedule this week

Week 4 – @ Buffalo Bills

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Oct. 31:00 PMCBS
  • Point spread: Bills -16.5
  • Moneyline: TBD
  • Over/under: 48.0
  • Week 4 prediction: Bills 56, Texans 10

We may see the legitimate self-actualization of Josh Allen as a football player in this one. The Buffalo Bills QB is going to have darn near a perfect 158.3 passer rating as he carves up Houston at home.

Houston Texans schedule predictions, roster outlook

Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 37-21 in Week 1 of the NFL season.
  • Their Week 10 bye is set between difficult matchups against the Tennessee Titans and Miami Dolphins (Nov. 7 and Nov. 21).
  • Sportsnaut originally predicted the Texans would end the season with an NFL-worst 0-17 record.

Find out where the Texans rate in our NFL power rankings

Houston Texans roster outlook

All our predictions are based on the Texans keeping and starting these key players:

Week 1 – Houston Texans won 37-21 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • When: Sunday, Sept. 12 at 1:00 PM on CBS
  • Spread: Jaguars -3
  • Moneyline: Jaguars -180; Texans +135
  • Over/Under: 45
  • Sportsnaut Prediction: Jaguars 35, Texans 23

This was probably the closest Houston would get to sniffing victory all season, and to the Texans' credit, they took full advantage of how incompetent the Jaguars look right now. Houston forced rookie No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence into multiple turnovers, and piled up 449 yards of total offense in a comfortable victory.

Week 2 – Houston Texans lost 31-21 @ Cleveland Browns

  • When: Sunday, Sept. 19 @ 1:00 PM on CBS
  • Spread: Browns -12.5
  • Moneyline: Texans +450; Browns -650
  • Over/Under: 48.0
  • Sportsnaut prediction: Browns 31, Texans 13

Who on the Texans' front seven was going to be able to hang with a Browns offensive line that returns all five starters from 2020's unit, which ranked No. 1 in Pro Football Focus' rankings? Stopping Cleveland's backfield juggernaut of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt was a tall order, but the Texans hung tough until an injury to starting QB Tyrod Taylor derailed their momentum on the road.

Week 3 -- Houston Texans lost 24-9 vs Carolina Panthers

  • When: Thursday, September 23 at 8:20 PM EST on NFL Network
  • Spread: Panthers -8.0 (BetMGM)
  • Over/Under: 43 points
  • Money line: Panthers (-350), Texans (+275)
  • Sportsnaut prediction: Panthers 21, Texans 10

We'll give first-year head coach David Culley some credit here. He has Houston playing somewhat competitive football. Unfortunately, having to rely on rookie third-round pick Davis Mills at quarterback was the biggest difference in a 15-point loss to the Panthers on a short week.

Houston Texans schedule predictions

NFL: Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports
What should the Houston Texans do with Deshaun Watson?

Week 5 – vs. New England Patriots

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Oct. 101:00 PMCBS

New Texans general manager Nick Caserio was aggressive in free agency, but so has his former boss in New England, Bill Belichick. Caserio's moves were far less splashy than Belichick's, and the gap across these rosters will be painfully evident in Houston.

  • Week 5 prediction: Patriots 28, Texans 0

Week 6 – @ Indianapolis Colts

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Oct. 171:00 PMCBS

Even if Carson Wentz doesn't prove to be the quarterback who can get the Colts over the hump, he still will have no trouble dismantling this hapless Texans defense.

  • Week 6 prediction: Colts 35, Texans 16
Houston Texans schedule and 2021 season predictions
Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Week 7 – @ Arizona Cardinals

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Oct. 244:25 PMCBS

Kyler Murray should have little trouble breaking contain and ripping off multiple big gains as a rusher for Arizona. This is the J.J. Watt Revenge Game, too. You can bet the longtime Texans face of the franchise will love to stick it to his former team after they failed him throughout his prime.

  • Week 7 prediction: Cardinals 34, Texans 17

Related: NFL games today - Full TV schedule, daily fantasy picks, best bets

Week 8 – vs. Los Angeles Rams

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Oct. 311:00 PMFOX

Los Angeles' tempo on offense, and elite defensive superstars in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey alone are enough to overwhelm the home team. These Texans will get absolutely rolled by the combined minds of Rams QB Matthew Stafford and coach Sean McVay.

  • Week 8 prediction: Rams 48, Texans 12

Week 9 – @ Miami Dolphins

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Nov. 71:00 PMCBS

This one has shutout written all over it. Dolphins coach Brian Flores is going to completely smother Houston's offense, and his sophomore signal-caller Tua Tagovailoa will be able to build some confidence with some big plays.

  • Week 9 prediction: Dolphins 24, Texans 0

WEEK 10 BYE

Week 11 – @ Tennessee Titans

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Nov. 211:00 PMCBS

The Texans lost by one possession in each of their two meetings with the Titans last season. However, Watson had to throw for 700 yards just to keep Houston competitive. Without him, there's zero chance the Texans pull this out on the road.

  • Week 11 prediction: Titans 49, Texans 25

Week 12 – vs. New York Jets

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Nov. 281:00 PMCBS

Not a great matchup personnel-wise for Houston, but then again, what is? Zach Wilson should sling it all over the yard, as Jets receivers Corey Davis and Elijah Moore overwhelm the Texans' defensive backfield in a rout.

  • Week 12 prediction: Jets 38, Texans 17
Houston Texans schedule and 2021 season predictions
Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Week 13 – vs. Indianapolis Colts

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Dec. 51:00 PMCBS

There's just no timeline of reality that even hints the Texans will win a single game in the AFC South in 2021. Whether it's at NRG Stadium, a rival's venue or on the Moon, Houston has no shot of even going 1-5 in division games. The Colts are going to walk all over them in both meetings.

  • Week 13 prediction: Colts 36, Texans 13

Week 14 – vs. Seattle Seahawks

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Dec. 121:00 PMFOX

The Russell Wilson controversy could cause the Seahawks to have a bit of a letdown here, but nothing catastrophic to the point of taking a crazy "L." Wilson will make enough plays, and Seattle's defense can feast on poor competition as it did down the stretch in 2020.

  • Week 14 prediction: Seahawks 35, Texans 10

Week 15 – @ Jacksonville Jaguars

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Dec. 191:00 PMCBS

How do you think this one's going to turn out in Duval County? Whether it's Tyrod Taylor or rookie Davis Mills at quarterback for Houston, the chances of emerging from Jacksonville victorious are slim to none.

  • Week 15 prediction: Jaguars 41, Texans 24

Week 16 – vs. Los Angeles Chargers

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Dec. 261:00 PMCBS

Scary to think that Justin Herbert only figures to improve in Year 2, and has a presumably better head coach In Brandon Staley, who presided over the Rams' No. 1 defense last year. Houston, we have a problem here. Several actually.

  • Week 16 prediction: Chargers 51, Texans 6

Week 17 – @ San Francisco 49ers

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Jan. 24:05 PMCBS

With so many key players returning from injury, the 49ers should be back in the thick of the playoff race after a Super Bowl hangover. They'll be locked in, and even this "trap game" outside the NFC West won't derail San Francisco as it pursues a postseason return.

  • Week 17 prediction: 49ers 35, Texans 14
Houston Texans schedule and 2021 season predictions
Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Week 18 – vs. Tennessee Titans

DateTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Jan. 91:00 PMCBS

For the Texans to score 24 points in any game this season, they'll need garbage time to get it done. This projection suggests Tennessee pounces all over Houston in the early going, then takes its foot off the gas as the hosts score meaningless points to make the score more respectable.

  • Week 18 prediction: Titans 34, Texans 24

Houston Texans record prediction: 0-17

Click here to see which teams we think will make the postseason in our NFL playoff predictions