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How potential Aaron Rodgers trade impacts Super Bowl odds

The Green Bay Packers are continuing to hold their ground as MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers angles for a trade that would shake up the playoff picture and Super Bowl odds for multiple teams.

With many thanks to the latest numbers from SportsBettingDime.com as of this writing, you can see how the Packers’ fortunes for 2021 take a drastic hit if they trade Rodgers — and how much of a boon he’d be to the Super Bowl hopes of two AFC West teams:

TeamSuper Bowl odds without Aaron RodgersSuper Bowl odds with Aaron Rodgers
Las Vegas Raiders+7000+1300
Denver Broncos+8500+1400
Green Bay Packers+12500+1600

The Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders have long been viewed as the favorites to land Rodgers in a blockbuster deal. Either front office would be crazy not to aggressively pursue this path, but it takes two to tango, as the saying goes.

Thus far, Green Bay seems just as dug into its stubborn ways as ever. Rodgers doesn’t seem to be budging any time soon, and until the Packers either make more of an effort to build a bridge to their star QB, everyone loses.

Will Aaron Rodgers end his career in Green Bay?

Related: Check out more Las Vegas sports news at VegasSportsToday.com

Super Bowl odds suggest Packers’ roster is built to fail if Aaron Rodgers is traded

It’s no secret the Packers are a conservative organization. That is an obvious way they’ve worn on Rodgers. When they did decide to get aggressive and traded up in the first round of the 2020 draft for Jordan Love, though, they didn’t even give Rodgers a heads up about the move.

Rodgers essentially flipped the front office the bird this season en route to MVP honors because of that. Good luck getting him back.

Following in the footsteps of Rodgers and, um, Brett Favre, isn’t going to be easy for Love. Chances are, he’s not going to be as good as those two. However, oddsmakers really don’t believe in Love based on the Super Bowl odds listed in the event Rodgers is traded.

The steep drop suggests that the betting experts don’t believe in Green Bay’s core of players in general, never mind what Love can do. It’s not like the NFC North is a terribly tough division. The clear implication is that Rodgers’ brilliance has covered for some lackluster roster building.

Is Aaron Rodgers a better fit in Denver or Las Vegas?

Is Aaron Rodgers a better fit in Denver or Las Vegas?
Aug 26, 2017; Denver, CO, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) and Denver Broncos outside linebacker Von Miller (58) talk following the preseason game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Not going to lie, it’s a little surprising to see the Raiders’ Super Bowl odds be slightly better than that of the Broncos in the event either team trades for Rodgers.

Las Vegas has been wanting for defensive help for several years now. Derek Carr has been operating the offense at a high level.

But if Rodgers digs the excitement of Sin City, the passion of the Silver and Black fans, the chance to restore the Raiders to prominence and to get all fired up with a coach like Jon Gruden, then maybe he’d be keen to play there. Carr could even come to Green Bay in a trade.

As downright thrilling as it’d be to see Rodgers in Vegas, he should absolutely want to go to Denver if given the choice.

The Broncos feature a great QB lineage like the one Rodgers has helped continue in Green Bay, yet they’ve struggled to stabilize the position since Peyton Manning retired. Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater aren’t going to inspire a lot of confidence in Denver, nor many wins.

From a football standpoint, it’s plain to see that the Broncos are the better fit. They have a defensive genius at head coach in Vic Fangio, and are loaded with young skill position talent, led by Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy and Noah Fant.

Denver offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur and Rodgers may set an NFL record for most passive-aggressive sideline interactions if things get off to a rocky start. It wouldn’t matter. Rodgers would figure out a way to make it work regardless of who’s calling plays, and the Broncos would be legitimate Super Bowl contenders.

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